Prediction for match Werder Bremen — Heidenheim

Match Preview

On February 28th, Werder Bremen will face Heidenheim in the Bundesliga. According to the odds: a win for Werder is priced at 1.84, a draw at 4.00, and a win for Heidenheim at 4.51. Looking at the probability distribution, Werder has a 53.53% chance of winning, a draw is at 24.63%, and Heidenheim has a 21.84% chance. Werder is the favorite according to the odds, but the recent statistics of both teams suggest a potentially high-scoring game, considering their goal records and the frequency of over totals.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Werder has had an average of 57% ball possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 9.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Heidenheim, in the same period, averaged 38.8% possession, 1.2 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Recent matches for Werder: 22.02.2026 St. Pauli - Werder 2-1, 14.02.2026 Werder - Bayern 0-3, 07.02.2026 Freiburg - Werder 1-0. For Heidenheim: 22.02.2026 Heidenheim - Stuttgart 3-3, 15.02.2026 Augsburg - Heidenheim 1-0, 07.02.2026 Heidenheim - Hamburg 0-2. Their last head-to-head was on 18.10.2025: Heidenheim - Werder 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-game series, Werder’s matches have an average total of 2.2 goals, scoring 0.4 and conceding 1.8 per game. Heidenheim has a noticeably higher average total of 3.4, scoring 1 and conceding 2.4. For matches over 2.5 goals: Werder had 2 out of 5, and Heidenheim had 3 out of 5. By halves: Werder had only 1 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second half; Heidenheim had 2 out of 5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second. Goal intervals: Werder distributes goals evenly across the match quarters (25% in each of the four intervals), while Heidenheim scores most frequently at the end (76-90 minutes - 38%). Werder concedes most often between 61-75 minutes (43%), and Heidenheim in two intervals: 31-45 and 61-75 (30% each). Given both teams' tendency for high-scoring second halves and Heidenheim’s high average goal total, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.75 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On corners, Werder averages 5.6 per match, and Heidenheim 5. In the last five matches, Werder had 3 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, and Heidenheim 2 out of 5. The total closest to the sum of their averages (10.6) would be the 10.5 line. For a total of 10.5 corners, the odds are: over 10.5 - 2.41, under 10.5 - 1.50. Werder is favored for corners with odds of 1.47. Considering both teams consistently deliver 5 or more corners per game, it’s logical to consider a bet on over 10.5 corners or Werder’s advantage in this aspect.