Prediction for match Werder Bremen — Mainz 05

Match Analysis: Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05

Werder Bremen and Mainz 05 will face off in the Bundesliga on March 15. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a Werder Bremen win is at 2.28, a draw is at 3.68, and a Mainz 05 victory is at 3.29. The probability percentages for 1X2 are: Werder Bremen - 43.24%, draw - 26.79%, Mainz 05 - 29.97%. The betting lines also highlight totals, both teams to score, and individual performances, but the slight edge in probabilities and odds is with Werder Bremen. Tournament distance and motivation are not considered in this match, the focus is solely on statistics and current form.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Werder Bremen recorded the following results: March 8 - Union Berlin 1-4 Werder Bremen, February 28 - Werder Bremen 2-0 Heidenheim, February 22 - St. Pauli 2-1 Werder Bremen. Mainz 05 played as follows: March 12 - Sigma Olomouc 0-0 Mainz 05, March 7 - Mainz 05 2-2 Stuttgart, February 28 - Bayer Leverkusen 1-1 Mainz 05. In their last head-to-head on November 1, 2025, Mainz 05 and Werder Bremen drew 1-1. Additional metrics show: Werder Bremen in a five-match series averages 57.2% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per match. Mainz 05 averages 42.2% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 3 offsides. These numbers indicate Werder Bremen's greater activity in ball control and physicality, while Mainz 05 is more frequently caught offside.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Match Werder Bremen vs Mainz 05

In a five-match series, Werder Bremen has an average total of 2.8 goals, while Mainz 05 has 2.4. Werder Bremen scores and concedes 1.4 each, Mainz 05 scores 0.8 and concedes 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: Werder Bremen has 3 out of 5 over, Mainz 05 has 2 out of 5. In the first half, Werder Bremen has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Mainz 05 has 1 out of 5. In the second half, Werder Bremen has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Mainz 05 has 2 out of 5. Goal timing: Werder Bremen most often scores between 46-60 minutes (33%), while Mainz 05 scores in two intervals: 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (38% each). Werder Bremen most often concedes between 61-75 minutes (38%), Mainz 05 in the intervals 61-75 and 76-90 (50% each). Overall, both teams lean towards moderately high scoring profiles, but Mainz 05 appears less potent in attack. Considering the average scoring, Werder Bremen's over 2.5 goals, and second-half support, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.83 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Average corners per game: Werder Bremen - 4.2, Mainz 05 - 3.6, combined - 7.8. In a five-match series, a total over 9.5 corners occurred once for each team. Among the offered totals for corners, the line closest to the average sum is 7.5: total corners over 7.5 is at 1.27, under 7.5 is at 3.28. There is also a line at 8.5: over 8.5 is 1.49, under 8.5 is 2.44. For the corner outcome: Werder Bremen is favored at 2.07. Overall, both teams do not show high activity in corners, with minimal over 9.5 occurrences, so it makes more sense to consider bets on lower corner totals.