Prediction for match West Ham — Brighton, 30.12.2025

Match Analysis: West Ham vs Brighton

West Ham and Brighton will face off on December 30th in the English Premier League. According to the odds, Brighton is considered the favorite: their win is priced at 2.27, West Ham's victory at 3.30, and a draw at 3.68. The probabilities are distributed as follows: West Ham - 29.85%, draw - 26.76%, Brighton - 43.39%. This setup confirms higher expectations for Brighton in this match, but the gap is not overwhelming, adding intrigue to betting on goal outcomes.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, West Ham averaged 0.8 goals scored while conceding 1.8, with a possession rate of 37.2%. West Ham received an average of 1.4 yellow cards, committed 10.6 fouls, and had 2.6 offsides per game. During the same period, Brighton scored 1 goal per game and also conceded 1.8, with a possession rate of 55.4%. Brighton averaged 2.2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. West Ham's last three matches were: December 27, 2025 - West Ham vs Fulham 0-1, December 20, 2025 - Manchester City vs West Ham 3-0, December 14, 2025 - West Ham vs Aston Villa 2-3. Brighton's last three matches were: December 27, 2025 - Arsenal vs Brighton 2-1, December 20, 2025 - Brighton vs Sunderland 0-0, December 13, 2025 - Liverpool vs Brighton 2-0. The last head-to-head match between the teams was on December 7, 2025: Brighton vs West Ham 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, West Ham and Brighton have similar profiles in terms of totals: both teams had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games, and under 2.5 in 3 out of 5. The average number of goals in West Ham's matches is 2.6, while Brighton's is 2.8. West Ham scored an average of 0.8, Brighton 1. By halves, West Ham had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 out of 5 times, Brighton 1 out of 5, while both teams had over 1.5 goals in the second half 3 out of 5. In terms of scoring intervals, West Ham most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (29%), and Brighton also in the 0-15 minute interval (38%). For goals conceded, West Ham is vulnerable at the end (76-90 minutes, 50%), while Brighton has two periods of 33% - 31-45 and 61-75 minutes. All this suggests that both teams are capable of scoring and conceding, especially in the second half, and the average goal figures and total outcomes support the bet both teams to score: yes. The odds for this outcome are 1.60.

Analysis of Corner Totals

West Ham and Brighton average 4.4 corners per match. For a total of 9.5 corners, both teams went over in 2 out of 5 games. The line closest to the combined total of both teams is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is priced at 1.41, under 8.5 at 2.68. In the corner outcome market, Brighton is favored with odds of 1.70. Based on the average corner activity and the frequency of the 9.5 total being exceeded, it makes sense to consider the bet on over 8.5 corners as one of the basic options, and also take note of Brighton's advantage in corner outcomes.