Prediction for match Widzew Łódź — Nieciecza

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On April 11, 2026, in the Polish Ekstraklasa, Widzew Łódź will face Nieciecza. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Widzew Łódź is priced at 1.59, a draw is at 4.10, and a victory for Nieciecza is at 4.99. According to the probabilities calculated by the bookmakers, Widzew Łódź has a 58.60% chance of winning, a draw is at 22.73%, and Nieciecza has an 18.67% chance. This setup highlights that Widzew Łódź is considered the favorite, but Nieciecza should not be underestimated. The betting line also includes options for totals and both teams to score, providing a wider range of betting choices.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Widzew Łódź has had the following results: a 1-1 draw against Raków on April 4, a 0-0 draw with Górnik Zabrze on March 22, a goalless draw against Arka Gdynia on March 15, a 2-1 win over Lech Poznań on March 7, and a 0-1 loss to Pogoń Szczecin on February 28. Nieciecza's five-match series started with a 3-2 win over Piast Gliwice (April 6), followed by losses to Lech Poznań 1-4 (March 22), Motor Lublin 1-2 (March 13), Korona Kielce 1-2 (March 7), and a 1-1 draw with Radomiak Radom (March 1). In their last head-to-head meeting on October 4, 2025, Nieciecza and Widzew Łódź played to a 2-4 result, with Widzew being the more productive side. On average, over the last five matches, Widzew Łódź had 49.2% possession, committed 18.4 fouls, was caught offside 1.6 times, and received 1.4 yellow cards per game. Nieciecza had 39.8% possession, 15.2 fouls, 1.4 offsides, and 2.6 yellow cards.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The goal-scoring profiles of the teams in recent matches differ significantly. Widzew Łódź averages 1.2 goals per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.6. Nieciecza's average total goals in matches is 3.6, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.2. For over 2.5 goals, Widzew has only 1 out of 5, while Nieciecza has 4 out of 5. In the first half, Widzew Łódź had 1 out of 5 games over 1.5 goals, while Nieciecza had 3 out of 5. In the second half, Widzew Łódź had 1 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, while Nieciecza had 4 out of 5. Widzew Łódź most frequently scored between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%), while Nieciecza scored most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (45%). Widzew Łódź most often conceded between the 16th and 30th and 76th and 90th minutes (50% each), while Nieciecza conceded most between the 61st and 75th minutes (43%). This difference in scoring profiles suggests that the match could be more open than usual for Widzew, and Nieciecza could maintain a high tempo. Given that both teams have arguments for a high-scoring game, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.70 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average over five matches, Widzew Łódź earns 2.8 corners, while Nieciecza gets 5.2. The over 9.5 corners total was hit by Widzew Łódź 1 out of 5 times and by Nieciecza 4 out of 5 times. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (8.0) is 8.5, but it lacks odds for both outcomes. The next suitable total is 9.5, with both options available: over 9.5 is priced at 1.59, and under 9.5 at 2.13. For the corner outcome, Widzew Łódź is favored with odds of 1.44. Based on the statistics, Nieciecza consistently earns more corners, and Widzew Łódź has a low count, so betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially if the game follows a high-activity scenario around both teams' goals.