Prediction for match Wolfsberger — Sturm Graz

Match Analysis: Wolfsberger vs Sturm Graz

In the upcoming Austrian Bundesliga match, Wolfsberger will face Sturm Graz on March 1, 2026. The odds for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Wolfsberger win at 2.48, draw at 3.26, and Sturm Graz win at 2.76. The probability percentages according to the model are: Wolfsberger - 37.60%, draw - 28.61%, Sturm Graz - 33.79%. These figures suggest a slight edge for Wolfsberger, but there is no clear favorite. This setup indicates fairly even chances, with bookmakers expecting moderate scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

Wolfsberger's last five matches resulted in: 21.02.2026 Rapid Vienna - Wolfsberger 2-0, 15.02.2026 BW Linz - Wolfsberger 2-1, 08.02.2026 Wolfsberger - Grazer AK 2-2. Sturm Graz's last three matches were: 22.02.2026 Sturm Graz - BW Linz 1-0, 14.02.2026 WSG Tirol - Sturm Graz 1-0, 08.02.2026 Sturm Graz - Ried 1-0. On average over the past five matches, Wolfsberger has 48.6% possession, receives 2.2 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Sturm Graz has 47.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Their last head-to-head was on 26.10.2025: Sturm Graz - Wolfsberger 1-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Wolfsberger's five-match series shows an average total of 3 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.8. Sturm Graz shows much lower scoring with an average total of 1.4 goals, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 goals, Wolfsberger has 4 out of 5, while Sturm Graz has only 1 out of 5. In the first half, Wolfsberger recorded over 1.5 goals three times out of five, while Sturm Graz never did. In the second half, Wolfsberger had 4 out of 5 over 1.5, and Sturm Graz 1 out of 5. Goal intervals show Wolfsberger most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (45%), and Sturm Graz in the same interval (57%). Wolfsberger concedes most often between 61-75 minutes (40%). Considering Wolfsberger's consistent scoring and Sturm Graz's tendency for low-scoring games, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.86 seems logical: Sturm Graz has low scoring, and Wolfsberger doesn't always capitalize on their attacking potential against strong defenses.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Wolfsberger averages 3.6 corners per game, while Sturm Graz averages 1.8. In the last five matches, Wolfsberger exceeded 9.5 total corners three times, while Sturm Graz did so only once. Based on the combined average corners of both teams (5.4), the nearest total with a pair of odds is 7.5. Odds for over 7.5 corners are 1.25, and for under 7.5 are 3.28. For the outcome on corners, the odds are equal: Wolfsberger win 2.11, Sturm Graz win 2.11, draw 6.35. Overall, Wolfsberger tends to take more corners, and Sturm Graz rarely exceeds 2-3 per match, which could support a bet on Wolfsberger's individual total corners over 3.5 or the overall total over 7.5 when considering additional options.