Prediction for match Wolverhampton — Aston Villa

Match Analysis: Wolverhampton vs Aston Villa

The upcoming Premier League clash between Wolverhampton and Aston Villa sees Aston Villa as the favorites. The odds for an Aston Villa win are set at 1.95, significantly lower than a draw (3.84) and a Wolverhampton victory (4.12). The probability distribution is as follows: Wolverhampton is rated at 23.89%, a draw at 25.63%, and Aston Villa at 50.48%. These figures reflect analysts' confidence in Aston Villa's advantage, although a draw remains a possibility. The betting line also offers options on totals and both teams to score, but an Aston Villa win stands out with the most attractive odds among outcomes with odds above 1.50.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Wolverhampton has shown average possession of 39.2%, received 2 yellow cards, committed 10.6 fouls, and had 1 offside. During this period, their results were: 22.02.2026 Crystal Palace - Wolverhampton 1-0, 18.02.2026 Wolverhampton - Arsenal 2-2, 15.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Wolverhampton 0-1. Aston Villa, over their last five games, maintained possession at 55.8%, recorded 1.4 yellow cards, committed 9.8 fouls, and had 1.8 offsides. Their last three matches: 21.02.2026 Aston Villa - Leeds 1-1, 14.02.2026 Aston Villa - Newcastle 1-3, 11.02.2026 Aston Villa - Brighton 1-0. In their head-to-head on 30.11.2025, Aston Villa defeated Wolverhampton 1-0. These stats highlight the difference in style and activity between the teams, with Aston Villa appearing more controlling and disciplined across several metrics.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, both teams have averaged a total of 2 goals over their last five matches, with each scoring an average of 0.8 and conceding 1.2. Wolverhampton went over 2.5 goals twice in their last 5 matches, staying under three times. Aston Villa went over 2.5 goals once, with four unders. For first-half goals, Wolverhampton had only 1 out of 5 games with two or more goals, while Aston Villa had none. In the second half, both teams had one game with over 1.5 goals. Both teams most frequently score in the 76-90 minute interval (50%), while Wolverhampton concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (43%), and Aston Villa in the same 31-45 (33%) and 76-90 (33%) intervals. These data suggest a cautious style from both teams, a lack of a clear over-profile, and low scoring over the distance. In this scenario, betting on an Aston Villa win seems most justified, considering their outcome probability advantage and defensive stability.

Corner Totals Analysis

Wolverhampton averages 2 corners per game over their last 5 matches, while Aston Villa averages 7.2. The frequency of going over 9.5 corners is 3 out of 5 for Wolverhampton and 4 out of 5 for Aston Villa. Among the available corner totals, the 9.5 line stands out: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.73, under at 1.99. Aston Villa is favored on corners with odds of 1.58. Considering the difference in corner activity and Aston Villa's consistency, betting on their corner advantage and over 9.5 total corners seems logical, given the recent match statistics of both teams.