Prediction for match Wrexham — Cardiff City, 28.10.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On October 28, 2025, in the English League Cup, Wrexham will face Cardiff City. The odds for the outcome are as follows: a win for Wrexham is at 2.25, Cardiff City at 3.20, and a draw at 3.25. Probability estimates: Wrexham - 41.75%, Cardiff City - 29.35%, draw - 28.90%. Based on these figures, Wrexham is considered the favorite, but the gap with Cardiff City is minimal, promising a fairly even contest on the field.

Team Form

Looking at the form over the last five matches, Wrexham averages 1.6 goals per game (0.8 scored, 0.8 conceded), while Cardiff City averages 2.6 (1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded). In terms of corners: Wrexham - 4, Cardiff City - 4.8. In their last game, Wrexham drew 1-1 with Middlesbrough (25.10.2025), and before that, they narrowly defeated Oxford United 1-0 (22.10.2025). Cardiff City lost to Bolton Wanderers 0-1 (25.10.2025), but previously defeated Reading 2-1 (18.10.2025). In their last five matches, both teams have recorded draws as well as narrow wins and losses, indicating a similar level of competition at this stage.

Goals Statistics

The total over 2.5 goals occurred 0 times out of 5 for Wrexham and 2 times for Cardiff City. Average goals: Wrexham - 1.6, Cardiff City - 2.6. In the first half, the total over 1.5 goals never occurred for Wrexham and only once for Cardiff City; in the second half - 0 for Wrexham, 2 for Cardiff City. Analyzing goal intervals, Wrexham most frequently scores in the first 15 minutes (40%) and between the 31st and 45th minute (40%), while Cardiff City does so between the 61st and 75th minute (43%). Wrexham concedes evenly at the start, after the break, and towards the end (33% in each of these periods), whereas Cardiff City concedes between the 31st and 45th minute (33%). Based on this data, we can expect a cautious start and more activity from the visitors in the second half.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average over five matches, Wrexham earns 4 corners, Cardiff City - 4.8. Over a stretch of five games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 2 times for Wrexham and 4 times for Cardiff City, indicating Cardiff City's tendency for more active play on the wings and set-pieces. The odds for total corners over 9.5 is 1.85, and under 9.5 is 1.95. Wrexham is favored to win on corners with odds of 1.91.