Prediction for match Wrexham — Chelsea

Match Analysis: Wrexham vs Chelsea

On March 7, 2026, Wrexham will face Chelsea in the FA Cup. The odds for the match outcomes are as follows: Chelsea win at 1.45, draw at 5.00, and Wrexham win at 6.80. In terms of probability: Chelsea - 66.52%, draw - 19.29%, Wrexham - 14.19%. Chelsea stands out significantly in terms of odds and probabilities, but the recent match statistics of both teams suggest high scoring, adding intrigue to the match expectations.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Wrexham has the following results: February 28, 2026, Charlton Athletic 0-1 Wrexham, February 24, 2026, Wrexham 2-1 Portsmouth, February 21, 2026, Wrexham 5-3 Ipswich Town. They also drew 2-2 with Bristol City and won 1-0 against Ipswich Town. During the same period, Chelsea played as follows: March 4, 2026, Aston Villa 1-4 Chelsea, March 1, 2026, Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea, February 21, 2026, Chelsea 1-1 Burnley, February 13, 2026, Hull City 0-4 Chelsea, February 10, 2026, Chelsea 2-2 Leeds. On average, over five matches, Wrexham has 46.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Chelsea's stats: 65% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, 2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on July 25, 2024, Chelsea and Wrexham drew 2-2.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Wrexham vs Chelsea Match

Based on the five-match series, Wrexham's average total goals per match is 3.4, while Chelsea's is 3.6. Wrexham scores an average of 2.2 and concedes 1.2, Chelsea scores 2.4 and concedes 1.2. Over the last five games, Wrexham's total over 2.5 occurred 3 times, Chelsea's 4 times. By halves: Wrexham's first half total over 1.5 occurred 2 times, and the second half also 2 times, Chelsea's first half 2 times, second half 3 times. The most frequent goal interval for Wrexham is 31-45 minutes (30%), for Chelsea 0-15 and 16-30 minutes (33% each). Wrexham concedes most in the intervals 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 (29% each), Chelsea in 31-45 and 61-75 (33% each). Given the high scoring nature of both sides, the frequency of over 2.5 totals in the series, and the attacking profile, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.48 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Wrexham averages 4 corners per game, Chelsea 7. In the five-match series, Wrexham's total corners over 9.5 occurred 2 times, Chelsea's 4 times. The total closest to the average sum (11) is 11: over 11 is at 3.00, under 11 at 1.36. Chelsea is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.29. Based on statistics, an active game on the flanks and a large number of crosses from both sides, especially from Chelsea, can be expected, which could lead to a total corners around 10-12. It's also worth noting that Chelsea averages more yellow cards - 3.4 per match, possibly due to high intensity and pressing.