Prediction for match Yunnan Yukun — Tianjin Jinmen Tiger

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Chinese Super League on 17.04.2026, Yunnan Yukun faces Tianjin Jinmen Tiger. The main outcome odds are distributed as follows: a win for Yunnan Yukun is at 1.70, a draw is offered at 4.02, and a victory for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger is at 4.74. Looking at the probabilities, Yunnan Yukun has a 56.13% chance to win, a draw has 23.74%, and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has a 20.13% chance to win. Based on these figures, Yunnan Yukun stands out as the favorite for the upcoming match. Additionally, for the both teams to score market: 'yes' is at 1.62, 'no' is at 2.16, and the over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.66, indicating a trend towards a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

Yunnan Yukun over a five-match span shows average values: 47.2% ball possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger averages 49.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Yunnan Yukun played as follows: on 12.04.2026 Sichuan Jiuniu - Yunnan Yukun 3-4, on 04.04.2026 Shanghai Port - Yunnan Yukun 2-1, on 21.03.2026 Yunnan Yukun - Shandong Taishan 4-0. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's last three games were: on 12.04.2026 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Qingdao Zhongnen 1-1, on 05.04.2026 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger - Shanghai Shenhua 2-3, on 21.03.2026 Shenyang Urban - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 3-0. The last head-to-head match between these teams was on 18.10.2025 and ended with a 2-0 victory for Yunnan Yukun.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Yunnan Yukun shows a distinct scoring ability over a 5-match period: the average number of goals in their matches is 4.2, with the team scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.6 per game. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's matches average 3 goals, scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.2. Yunnan Yukun has gone over 2.5 goals in 5 out of 5 matches, while Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has done so in 3 out of 5. In terms of halves, Yunnan Yukun has seen over 1.5 goals three times in the first half and three times in the second half out of five matches. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has seen over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and four times in the second half out of five matches. Yunnan Yukun often scores between the 31-45 minute mark (36%) and concedes between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (29% each). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger most frequently scores late (76-90 minute, 63%) and concedes in the same period (76-90 minute, 57%). Considering Yunnan Yukun's high scoring rate and Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's shaky defense, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.66 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Yunnan Yukun averages 5 corners per game, while Tianjin Jinmen Tiger averages 4.8. Over a five-match span, both teams have seen the over 9.5 corners total hit 2 times. Looking at the corner total odds, over 9.5 corners is at 1.53, while under 9.5 is at 2.30. In terms of corner outcomes, Yunnan Yukun is the favorite with odds of 1.46. Overall, considering the average corner stats, we can expect 9-10 corners in the match, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified for this encounter.