Prediction for match Zaglebie Lubin — Jagiellonia, 30.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On November 30, Zaglebie Lubin will face Jagiellonia in the Ekstraklasa. The main odds for the match outcome are as follows: a win for Zaglebie Lubin is priced at 2.68, a draw at 3.54, and a win for Jagiellonia at 2.36. In terms of probabilities, Zaglebie Lubin's chances of success are estimated at 34.57%, a draw at 26.17%, and Jagiellonia's victory at 39.26%. Jagiellonia is favored according to the odds and probability distribution, but the gap between the teams is not too large, promising an intriguing contest.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Zaglebie Lubin averages 38.4% possession, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 12 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Jagiellonia shows a higher possession percentage at 59.8%, with 2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Zaglebie Lubin played as follows: November 24 - Pogon Szczecin vs. Zaglebie Lubin 5-1, November 7 - Zaglebie Lubin vs. Gornik Zabrze 2-0, November 3 - Cracovia vs. Zaglebie Lubin 0-0. Jagiellonia's last three games: November 27 - Jagiellonia vs. KuPS 1-0, November 9 - Pogon Szczecin vs. Jagiellonia 1-2, November 6 - Shkendija vs. Jagiellonia 1-1. In their head-to-head on July 11, 2025, Jagiellonia lost to Zaglebie Lubin 0-1 - the total goals were under 2.5.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Zaglebie Lubin had over 2.5 goals twice and under 2.5 goals three times; Jagiellonia had over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. In the first halves, both teams had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches; in the second halves, Zaglebie Lubin had 3 out of 5, Jagiellonia 2 out of 5. On average, Zaglebie Lubin scores 1.4 and concedes 1.4 goals per match, while Jagiellonia scores 1.2 and concedes 1.2, leading to average totals of 2.8 and 2.4, respectively. In terms of scoring intervals: Zaglebie Lubin most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (33%), Jagiellonia in two intervals: 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). For goals conceded: Zaglebie Lubin is most vulnerable between 46 and 60 minutes (100%), Jagiellonia at the start and end of the match (0-15 and 76-90, 33% each). Considering the over 2.5 goals occurrences for both teams, average scoring above 2.4, and support in second halves, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.72 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Zaglebie Lubin averages 2.2 per match over 5 games, while Jagiellonia averages 4.4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for both teams is 2 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the closest to the combined average (6.6) is a total of 7.5: over 7.5 is priced at 1.15, under at 4.20. Additionally, a total of 8.5 can be considered: over at 1.33, under at 2.88. In terms of corners outcome, Zaglebie Lubin has an advantage with odds of 1.93. Given Zaglebie Lubin's low average activity and Jagiellonia's moderate numbers, opting for a corner total closer to 8.5 seems reasonable, with cautious consideration for higher values.