Prediction for match Zambia — Morocco

Match Analysis: Zambia vs Morocco

The Africa Cup of Nations match between Zambia and Morocco is scheduled for December 29, 2025. According to the odds, Morocco is considered the clear favorite: a win for Morocco is at 1.23, a draw at 6.51, and a win for Zambia at 18.00. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Zambia win 5.44%, draw 15.03%, Morocco win 79.54%. This indicates a significant advantage for Morocco, which is also supported by the statistics from recent encounters between these teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Zambia has an average ball possession of 42.33%, receives 1.33 yellow cards on average, commits 11 fouls, and records 0.67 offsides per game. Over the same period, Morocco has 70.6% ball possession, receives 1 yellow card, commits 14 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides. Zambia’s last three matches: December 26, 2025 - Zambia vs Comoros Islands - 0-0, December 22, 2025 - Mali vs Zambia - 1-1, December 16, 2025 - DR Congo vs Zambia - 2-0. Morocco’s last three matches: December 26, 2025 - Morocco vs Mali - 1-1, December 21, 2025 - Morocco vs Comoros Islands - 2-0, November 18, 2025 - Morocco vs Uganda - 4-0. In their last head-to-head match on September 8, 2025, Zambia lost to Morocco 0-2.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Zambia vs Morocco?

In the last 5 matches, both teams have had 1 game go over 2.5 goals and 4 games under 2.5 goals. The average number of goals in matches for both teams is 2. Zambia scores an average of 0.67 goals and concedes 1.33. Morocco scores 1.8 and concedes only 0.2. In the first halves, Zambia has no games over 1.5 goals, while Morocco has 1 out of 5. In the second halves, both teams have 2 games over 1.5 goals out of 5. The most frequent interval for goals scored by Zambia is 61-75 minutes (57%), while for Morocco it is 76-90 minutes (30%). Zambia most often concedes at the end (76-90, 67%), and Morocco in the interval of 61-75 (100%). Considering Zambia's low scoring and Morocco's strong defense, along with frequent under 2.5 totals, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.96 seems most justified. Both teams are not inclined towards an aggressive attacking play, which is also confirmed by their average goal statistics.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

The average number of corners for Zambia is 6 per game, and for Morocco, it is 9.8. In the last 5 matches, both teams have had 2 games go over 9.5 corners and 3 under 9.5. When considering the total corners, the closest line is 15.5, but this line is not available in the odds. The nearest total with a pair of outcomes is 9.5, but odds are missing. Statistically, both teams are capable of earning a good number of corners, especially Morocco, which could lead to high activity on the flanks. Overall, it makes sense to consider options for over 9.5 corners, given the average figures for both teams.