Prediction for match Real Zaragoza — AD Ceuta FC

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Segunda Division on April 18, Real Zaragoza will face AD Ceuta FC. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Real Zaragoza win at 1.79, a draw at 3.85, and an AD Ceuta FC win at 4.46. The probability distribution is as follows: 53.58% for a Real Zaragoza victory, 24.91% for a draw, and 21.51% for an AD Ceuta FC win. Based on the odds and probabilities, Real Zaragoza is highlighted as the favorite, but the gap in chances is not critical, and the goal totals do not promise a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

Let's look at the recent performances of both teams. In their last five matches, Real Zaragoza played as follows: 11.04.2026 Cordoba - Real Zaragoza 1-0, 05.04.2026 Real Zaragoza - Mirandes 1-2, 02.04.2026 Leganes - Real Zaragoza 1-1. During the same period, AD Ceuta FC had these matches: 10.04.2026 AD Ceuta FC - Real Sociedad II 0-0, 05.04.2026 Eibar - AD Ceuta FC 3-0, 01.04.2026 Burgos - AD Ceuta FC 1-1. In their head-to-head on 21.09.2025, AD Ceuta FC defeated Real Zaragoza 1-0. Over the last five matches, Real Zaragoza had an average possession of 46.8%, 3.2 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. AD Ceuta FC had 53.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. These figures indicate that AD Ceuta FC controls the ball more often, but both teams are similar in terms of discipline.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Real Zaragoza averaged 2.2 goals per game, while AD Ceuta FC averaged exactly 3. Both teams score an average of 1 goal per match, but AD Ceuta FC concedes significantly more - 2 compared to Real Zaragoza's 1.2. Real Zaragoza hit the over 2.5 goals mark in 2 out of 5, while AD Ceuta FC did so in 3 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 for Real Zaragoza and 2 out of 5 for AD Ceuta FC. In the second half, Real Zaragoza managed only 1 out of 5, while AD Ceuta FC had 3 out of 5. Real Zaragoza most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minute (43%), and concedes between the 31st and 45th minute (50%). For AD Ceuta FC, goals and conceded goals are most frequent between the 76th and 90th minute (27% and 50%, respectively). Overall, the goal profile of both teams does not suggest a high-scoring match, with both having average scoring rates, and Real Zaragoza also having a low conceding rate. The statistics for over 2.5 goals do not convincingly support an over bet, and Real Zaragoza's average goals are even below 2.5. Therefore, betting on under 2.5 goals seems to be a logical choice.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Real Zaragoza averages 5.6 corners per match, while AD Ceuta FC averages 3.6. For over 9.5 corners, Real Zaragoza hit it 3 out of 5, and AD Ceuta FC 2 out of 5. Among corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.2) is 9, where both outcomes are available: over 9 corners - 1.87, under 9 corners - 1.87. In the corner market, Real Zaragoza is favored with odds of 1.45. According to the stats, both teams are capable of earning around 9 corners per game, with Real Zaragoza having a slight edge in this aspect. It makes sense to consider a bet on around 9 total corners or a Real Zaragoza advantage in corner count.