Prediction for match Real Zaragoza — Burgos

Match Analysis: Real Zaragoza vs Burgos

In the Copa del Rey on December 4th, Real Zaragoza will face Burgos. The odds suggest no clear favorite: Burgos is priced at 2.67 for a win, Real Zaragoza at 2.94, and a draw is at 3.08. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 32.73% for Real Zaragoza's victory, 31.24% for a draw, and 36.04% for Burgos to win. This indicates a closely contested match with both teams likely to play cautiously.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Real Zaragoza defeated Leganes 3-2, overcame Eibar 2-1, and won against Huesca 1-0. In a similar period, Burgos lost to AD Ceuta 0-1, was defeated by Racing Santander 0-2, but previously won against Mirandes 2-0. Over the last five games, Real Zaragoza averages 47.6% possession, 3 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 2 offsides. Burgos averages 45.4% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. In their head-to-head match on February 16, 2025, Burgos won 1-0 against Real Zaragoza.

How Many Goals in the Match: Real Zaragoza vs Burgos

Real Zaragoza has an average total of 3 goals per game over their last five matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6. Burgos is less prolific, with an average of 1.6 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding the same. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 of Real Zaragoza's last 5 matches, but only in 1 of Burgos's last 5. The first half over 1.5 goals was seen in 3 games for Real Zaragoza, but only 1 for Burgos. The same pattern is observed in the second half: 3 out of 5 for Real Zaragoza, 1 out of 5 for Burgos. Real Zaragoza most frequently scores between the 16th-30th, 31st-45th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th minutes (22% each), while Burgos scores mostly in the first 30 minutes (50% in each of the two intervals). Conceding-wise, Real Zaragoza is most vulnerable in the 76th-90th minute (29%), while Burgos is in the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). Overall, Burgos demonstrates a cautious style with low scoring, while Real Zaragoza tends to have more goal-involved matches but not always consistently. Given these stats, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems logical, considering Burgos's low scoring and Real Zaragoza's moderate goal activity.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Real Zaragoza averages 3.4 corners per game, while Burgos averages 5.2. In the last five games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 2 times for Real Zaragoza and 4 times for Burgos. The line for total corners closest to the average sum (8.6) is 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 2.10, under 9.5 at 1.70. Statistically, Burgos is more involved in matches with a higher number of corners, whereas Real Zaragoza has a lower figure. It's reasonable to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners if focusing on Burgos's recent matches, but overall, the match might not be very corner-heavy.