Prediction for match Real Zaragoza — Burgos

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Segunda Division on February 28, Real Zaragoza will face Burgos. The odds for the outcomes are nearly equal: a win for Real Zaragoza is at 2.77, a draw at 2.86, and a win for Burgos is priced at 3.02. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Real Zaragoza - 34.65%, draw - 33.56%, Burgos - 31.78%. The odds for under 2.25 goals are at 1.47, and over 1.5 goals are at 1.65, indicating low scoring in recent matches for these teams. Both teams to score: no is at 1.59, and yes is at 2.22, further highlighting expectations of a cautious game. Individual total goals are also low: Real Zaragoza over 0.5 goals is at 1.47, Burgos over 0.5 goals is at 1.54.

Team Results and Statistics

Real Zaragoza has earned 2 points in their last five matches, drawing 1-1 with Eibar, 0-0 with Cultural Leonesa, and losing to FC Andorra 1-2. They also lost to Albacete 0-2 and drew 0-0 with Castellon. During the same period, Burgos defeated Leganes 2-1, drew 1-1 with Cadiz and 0-0 with Las Palmas, lost 0-1 to Racing Santander and 0-3 to Malaga. Average ball possession over five games: Real Zaragoza - 45.4%, Burgos - 44.8%. Both teams receive 2.8 yellow cards per match, fouls: Real Zaragoza - 11.8, Burgos - 9.8. Burgos has the edge in offsides with 2.4 against Real Zaragoza's 1. In their last head-to-head on December 21, 2025, the teams drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Real Zaragoza's five-match series shows an average total of 1.4 goals per match, with only 0.4 scored and 1 conceded. Burgos averages 1.8 total goals, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2. Over 2.5 goals occurred only once for Real Zaragoza and twice for Burgos in their last five matches. In the first half, over 1.5 goals happened once for Real Zaragoza and twice for Burgos, in the second half - 0 and 1 respectively. This confirms a trend of low scoring. Goal intervals: Real Zaragoza most often scores in the first 30 minutes (33% in both 0-15 and 16-30 intervals), while Burgos scores at the end of the first half (31-45, 43%). Real Zaragoza concedes goals early in the second half (46-60, 100%), and Burgos at the start (0-15, 50%) and end (76-90, 50%). All this suggests a likely low-scoring match with minimal goals. A bet on total under 2.0 at 1.64 seems logical: both teams have low scoring records, over 2.5 goals rarely occurred, and average goals scored do not exceed 0.6-0.4 per game.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Real Zaragoza averages 5 corners over the last five matches, Burgos - 3.8. Frequency of over 9.5 corners: Real Zaragoza 4 out of 5 games, Burgos - 2 out of 5. Among the proposed totals, the line closest to the average corners (8.8) is 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.59, under 8.5 at 2.13. A bet on Real Zaragoza to win on corners is at 1.86. Considering that Real Zaragoza consistently delivers more corners and matches often see over 9.5 corners, a bet on over 8.5 corners looks justified. You might also consider a bet on Real Zaragoza to win on corners, given the difference in average corners delivered.