Tips for match DR Congo — Guinea
On 02/02/2024, the teams of DR Congo and Guinea will play in the quarterfinals of the African Cup. It cannot be said that both teams sensationally reached such a late stage of the playoffs, although the path to ¼ was not easy. Guinea barely beat the sensation of the tournament - Equatorial Guinea, scoring only at the very end of the match, and DR Congo eliminated Egypt without Mohamed Salah in a penalty shootout. Most likely we will see a match of equal teams, which always gives a good chance to play a high odds for a draw in regulation time.
DR Congo is repeating the path of Portugal at Euro 2016 - when the team did not win a single match in normal time, but always progressed. In the group, DR Congo took second place having drawn 1-1 with Morocco and Zambia, as well as 0-0 with Tanzania. If it is difficult to assess the strength of DR Congo based on Zambia and Tanzania, then the match with Morocco showed that the team is very difficult. In the match with one of the strongest teams in Africa, DR Congo even scored more xG (0.98-1.58), took more corners and lost very little in terms of ball possession. Which is not surprising, the individual class of Moroccans is simply higher.
In the round of 16 against Egypt, we looked weaker than our opponents, but did not allow us to create many chances. According to our statistics, Egypt made only 3 shots on target in 120 minutes. Of course, if Mohamed Salah had been on the field, the statistics would have been different, but the future opponent does not have ¼ players of Salah’s class. But DR Congo’s endurance and nerves are fine, as shown by the long penalty shootout, where the DR Congo players missed only once.
Guinea plays with Total Under 2.5 in all matches at the tournament, takes few corners in matches, and generally plays more defensively. This is due to the lack of strong attacking players; if the average Guinean fan knows anyone, it’s only Naby Keita, a former Liverpool player who is now constantly either undergoing treatment or sitting on the bench at Werder.
On the one hand, in such a game you want to bet on TM 2.5, but the odds are too low, and on the other hand, you can play on the high odds 2.9, which are given for a draw in regular time. It seems to me that DR Congo will continue its streak without winning in regular time and we will again see either extra times and/or a penalty shootout.