Tips for match Liverpool — PSG
Today, March 11, 2025, the decisive return match of the 1/8 finals of the Champions League between Liverpool and PSG will take place at the legendary Anfield. The first meeting, which took place a week ago in Paris, ended with a minimal victory for the English 1-0, which was a big surprise, given the developments on the field. The only goal in the 89th minute was scored by Harvey Elliott after an accurate pass by Darwin Nunez, and this goal was a real surprise for the Parisian fans. Despite the defeat, PSG dominated the entire match, significantly surpassing their opponents in the number and quality of scoring chances.
The statistics of the first game clearly show the advantage of the Parisians. In terms of shots on goal, PSG had a colossal advantage - 27 against only 2 for Liverpool, while the Parisians made 10 shots on target against 1 for the visitors. The expected goals (xG) indicator also highlights PSG's superiority: 2.10 against 0.31 for Arne Sloth's team. The most important role was played by Liverpool goalkeeper Alisson Becker, who made a record 9 saves in one Champions League match in his entire career with the Merseysiders.
Liverpool are currently in excellent form. In their last five matches in all competitions, the team has won four times and drawn one. The average performance in these matches was 2 goals scored per game, while in defense, the English conceded an average of 0.6 goals. It is also worth noting that in recent games, Liverpool have taken an average of 6 corners per match and received 1.8 yellow cards.
PSG have similar statistics in recent games. The Parisians also won four times and lost one in their previous five matches. The French scored an average of 2.6 goals per game, conceding 1 goal each. PSG confidently leads the French championship and remains one of the most attacking teams in Europe. The average number of corners for the Parisians in the last five games was 6.8, and the team received an average of 2 yellow cards per match.
Particular attention should be paid to the key players of the teams. Mohamed Salah, who recently scored a double from the penalty spot in the Premier League against Southampton, and Cody Gakpo, who returned from injury, stand out in the Liverpool squad. Kvaratskhelia and Barcola pose the greatest danger in the Parisians, both of whom have regularly distinguished themselves in recent games: Kvaratskhelia scored 3+2 in the goal+assist system in five matches, and Barcola scored 4 goals with 1 assist over the same period.
The match will be refereed by experienced Romanian referee Horatiu Feschnik, his assistants will be Bastian Dankert from Germany and Tomasz Kwiatkowski from Poland, who will be responsible for the VAR system. Feschnik has previously refereed one match for each team in the current Champions League, showing an average of 3.5 yellow cards per match and no red cards.
Despite Liverpool's narrow victory in the first game, the match promises to be extremely tense. Both teams are expected to be aggressive in attack, and given the strength of PSG's attack, it is unlikely that the visitors will leave Anfield without a goal.
Sportwars.net forecast for the Liverpool - PSG match: both teams will score + total over 2.5, odds 1.74.