Prediction for match Heidenheim — Freiburg

Match Analysis: Heidenheim vs Freiburg

On December 6, 2025, in the Bundesliga, Heidenheim will face Freiburg. Freiburg is favored by the bookmakers, with odds of 2.05, translating to a 48.02% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 3.70 (26.61%), and a win for Heidenheim is at 3.88 (25.37%). Thus, while Freiburg is the favorite, a draw is also a plausible outcome according to the odds. The match promises to be intriguing in terms of outcome probabilities.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Heidenheim had an average possession of 40.6%, committed 9.4 fouls, was caught offside 1.2 times, and received 2 yellow cards per game. Freiburg shows more confidence with 53% possession, 8.2 fouls, 2.6 offsides, and only 0.8 warnings. In their last 5 encounters, Heidenheim played as follows: 29.11.2025 Union Berlin - Heidenheim 1-2, 22.11.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia M 0-3, 08.11.2025 Bayer - Heidenheim 6-0. Freiburg's recent matches were: 03.12.2025 Freiburg - Darmstadt 2-0, 30.11.2025 Freiburg - Mainz 05 4-0, 27.11.2025 Viktoria Plzen - Freiburg 0-0. In their head-to-head on 08.02.2025, Freiburg defeated Heidenheim 1-0.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in the Match

Based on their last five matches, Heidenheim has an average total of 3 goals, while Freiburg's is 3.4. Heidenheim scored an average of 0.6 and conceded 2.4, whereas Freiburg scored 2 goals and conceded 1.4 per game. In the last five matches, both teams played over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 games. By halves, Heidenheim had only 1 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in the first half and 2 out of 5 in the second, while Freiburg had 2 out of 5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second. Heidenheim most frequently scores between the 16th and 45th minutes (38% in each of the two intervals) and concedes predominantly at the end (76-90, 57%). Freiburg is most productive after the break: 27% of goals in the 46-60 and 76-90 intervals. Considering both teams tend to play high-scoring matches and Freiburg consistently scores in the second half, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.95.

Corner Totals Analysis

Heidenheim averages 3.2 corners per match, while Freiburg averages 5.2. Regarding the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Heidenheim played over in 4 out of 5, Freiburg in 3 out of 5. The closest total to their average sum is 8.5. Odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.70, and under is 1.74. Freiburg is favored in corners with odds of 1.85. Given Freiburg's active corner-taking and frequent over 9.5 totals, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 8.5 corners, as well as Freiburg's advantage in corner count.