Prediction for match Aberdeen — Kilmarnock, 14.12.2025

Match Analysis: Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

In the Scottish Premiership match on December 14, 2025, Aberdeen will host Kilmarnock. Bookmakers have marked Aberdeen as the favorite: their win is priced at 1.77, with a probability of success at 52.91%. A draw is given odds of 3.52 (26.60%), while a Kilmarnock victory is at 4.57 with a probability of 20.49%. This is due to the difference in current form and performance of the teams, as well as the statistics from their recent encounters. Based on the odds offered, Aberdeen is expected to dominate throughout the match, while Kilmarnock will have to fight for points under challenging conditions.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Aberdeen shows average figures: 48.4% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Over the same period, Kilmarnock records 37.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last three encounters, Aberdeen lost to Strasbourg 0-1 on December 11, defeated Dundee FC 3-1 on December 6, and drew 3-3 with St Mirren on December 3. During the same period, Kilmarnock lost to Rangers 0-3 on December 6, drew 1-1 with Hearts on December 3, and also drew 1-1 with Dundee United on November 29. In their last head-to-head on October 29, Kilmarnock lost to Aberdeen 0-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a five-match series, Aberdeen has an average total of 2.8 goals per game, while Kilmarnock averages 3. Aberdeen scores an average of 1.6 and concedes 1.2, whereas Kilmarnock scores 0.6 and concedes 2.4. In the totals_last_5_matches block, over 2.5 goals occurred twice for Aberdeen and three times for Kilmarnock. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once for Aberdeen and twice for Kilmarnock, but in the second half, Kilmarnock played over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5, and Aberdeen in 2 out of 5. Regarding goal intervals: Aberdeen most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minute (40%) and concedes most often in the final minutes (76-90 minutes, 40%). Kilmarnock's peak scoring period is between the 46th and 60th minute (38%), while conceded goals are distributed across three intervals: 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (22% each). This profile indicates significant activity in the second halves, particularly for Kilmarnock in terms of conceded goals. Given that the average totals of both teams are close to 3, and Kilmarnock often concedes after the break, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.91.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

On average, over the last five matches, Aberdeen takes 5.4 corners, and Kilmarnock takes 4.2, totaling 9.6. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Aberdeen has 4 out of 5, and Kilmarnock has 2 out of 5. For the total corners of 9.5, there are two outcomes: over 9.5 is priced at 1.50, and under 9.5 at 2.31. In the corners outcome block, Aberdeen is favored with odds of 1.65. Based on the average sum and frequency of occurrences for Aberdeen, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, especially considering the high activity in this metric in the team's recent matches.