Prediction for match AD Ceuta FC — Real Valladolid, 17.01.2026

Odds and Probabilities for the Match Outcome

In the Segunda match between AD Ceuta FC and Real Valladolid on January 17, 2026, the bookies have set the odds for the main outcomes as follows: a win for AD Ceuta FC is at 2.60, a victory for Real Valladolid is at 2.98, and a draw is at 3.10. According to the probability percentages, AD Ceuta FC has a 36.88% chance of winning, Real Valladolid has a 32.18% chance, and a draw is at 30.94%. The odds and probabilities indicate no clear favorite, but AD Ceuta FC has a slight edge.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, AD Ceuta FC: lost to Málaga 1-2 on January 11, beat FC Andorra 2-1 on January 4, and defeated Real Sociedad II 3-1 on December 21. In the same period, Real Valladolid: lost to Leganés 0-3 on January 11, drew with Racing Santander 1-1 on January 3, and lost to Eibar 0-3 on December 19. In their head-to-head on August 15, 2025, Real Valladolid was the stronger side, winning 3-0 against AD Ceuta FC. Additional stats over the last five matches: AD Ceuta FC has an average possession rate of 45%, with 2.6 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Real Valladolid has a 49.2% possession rate, with 4.2 yellow cards, 16.6 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. These figures reflect a more aggressive style from Real Valladolid, but less effectiveness in attack.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Both teams have shown attacking football in their last five matches: AD Ceuta FC and Real Valladolid have each played 3 out of 5 matches with over 2.5 goals. The average number of goals in matches for both teams is 2.8, with AD Ceuta FC averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, and Real Valladolid averaging 1 goal scored and 1.8 conceded. By halves, AD Ceuta FC had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches in both the first and second halves, while Real Valladolid had over 1.5 in the first half in 2 out of 5 and in the second half in 3 out of 5. Goal intervals show AD Ceuta FC often scores between the 16th-30th and 31st-45th minutes (25% each), while Real Valladolid scores in the first 15 minutes and from the 61st to 75th minutes (33% each). For goals conceded: AD Ceuta FC most frequently concedes between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (29% each), and Real Valladolid between the 76th-90th minutes (50%). These stats suggest a high probability of goals from both sides, making the over 2.5 total at 2.25 a logical choice for this match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Over the last five matches, the average number of corners: AD Ceuta FC - 3.8, Real Valladolid - 5.8, totaling 9.6. In a series of five games, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 2 times for AD Ceuta FC and 3 times for Real Valladolid. Among the available corner totals, the closest to the average sum is 9.5, with bets available: over 9.5 corners at 2.08, under 9.5 at 1.62. In terms of corner outcomes, Real Valladolid is favored with odds of 1.93. Statistics suggest both teams can earn enough corners, so betting on over 9.5 corners looks justified with a high odds. It's also worth considering Real Valladolid's individual stats, given their average of 5.8 per match.