Prediction for match AEK Athens — Aris

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Super League match between AEK Athens and Aris on November 23, AEK Athens is the clear favorite according to the odds. AEK Athens' victory is priced at 1.48, a draw is at 4.05, and Aris' success is at 6.91. Probability-wise: AEK Athens - 63.31%, draw - 23.13%, Aris - 13.56%. Thus, bookmakers highlight the home team as favorites, with the draw probability above 23%. The "Both Teams to Score: No" option is priced at 1.67 and stands out among markets with odds over 1.50.

Team Results and Statistics

AEK Athens shows a high ball possession rate over the last 5 matches - 68.2%, with an average of 2.2 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per game. Aris has noticeably lower possession - 45.8%, with averages of 1.4 yellow cards, 16.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In AEK Athens' last three matches: 09.11 - OFI - AEK Athens 0-1, 06.11 - AEK Athens - Shamrock Rovers 1-1, 02.11 - AEK Athens - Panetolikos 1-0. For Aris: 09.11 - Aris - Asteras 0-0, 01.11 - Olympiacos - Aris 2-1, 26.10 - Levadiakos - Aris 1-1. In the last head-to-head on 09.03, Aris and AEK Athens played 0-0 - under 2.5 goals hit.

Goals by Match Statistics

In the last five matches, AEK Athens had only 1 out of 5 games with over 2.5 goals, while Aris had 2 out of 5. In the first half, only one of AEK Athens' five games ended with two or more goals, while Aris had none. In the second half, AEK Athens had 1 out of 5 over 1.5, Aris - 2 out of 5. Average goals: AEK Athens - 2.4 scored and conceded per game, Aris - 2. In goal intervals, AEK Athens often scores late (76-90 minutes, 40%), while Aris scores early in the second half (46-60 minutes, 43%). AEK Athens' defense is solid: they concede an average of 0.6, while Aris scores only 0.6. Given Aris' low scoring and total statistics, the "Both Teams to Score: No" bet seems most logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

For corners, AEK Athens averages 6.4 per game over the last five matches, Aris - 5. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for AEK Athens is 2 out of 5, Aris - 3 out of 5. The line for corners over 8.5 is at 1.84, under 8.5 is at 1.84. The outcome on corners: AEK Athens has the edge, with odds of 1.17 for their win on corners. Based on this data, a bet on AEK Athens' individual total corners over 5.0 at 1.48 seems reasonable, but the main focus remains on Aris' low scoring.