Prediction for match AEK Athens — Atromitos

Match Analysis: AEK Athens vs Atromitos

On December 7, in the Greek Super League, AEK Athens will face Atromitos. The odds for an AEK Athens win are 1.27, for a draw - 5.15, and for Atromitos - 11.50. In terms of probability: AEK Athens - 73.69%, draw - 18.17%, Atromitos - 8.14%. These figures highlight AEK Athens as the favorite for the match, while Atromitos is considered to have a significantly lower chance of success. The odds for other key outcomes also indicate AEK Athens' advantage, with a draw appearing less likely compared to a home win.

Team Statistics and Scores

In their last five matches, AEK Athens had an average ball possession of 61.4%, committed 2.8 bookings, 15 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Atromitos, in the same period, showed 55.4% possession, 2 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In the last three encounters, AEK Athens: November 30 - Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens 2-3, November 27 - Fiorentina vs AEK Athens 0-1, November 23 - AEK Athens vs Aris 1-0. For Atromitos: November 30 - Atromitos vs Asteras 0-1, November 22 - Olympiacos vs Atromitos 3-0, November 9 - Atromitos vs Volos 0-1. The last head-to-head meeting was on February 15, 2025: AEK Athens vs Atromitos 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, AEK Athens had an average total of 2 goals per match, scoring 1.4 and conceding 0.6 per game. Atromitos had an average total of 2.4, but the team only scored 0.8 and conceded 1.6. For the over 2.5 goals market, AEK Athens had only 1 out of 5 games go over, while Atromitos had 3 out of 5. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were recorded once for AEK Athens and twice for Atromitos, and in the second half - once for AEK Athens and three times for Atromitos. AEK Athens most frequently scores in the 76-90 minute interval (60%), while Atromitos also scores late in the game (76-90, 50%). In terms of goals conceded, AEK Athens often allows opponents to score in the 16-30 and 31-45 minute intervals (33% each), while Atromitos concedes most frequently between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (29% each). Considering AEK Athens' low scoring rate for over 2.5 goals and Atromitos' weak attack, it makes sense to consider a bet on "Both Teams to Score: No" at 1.55.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

AEK Athens averages 6.2 corners per match, while Atromitos averages 5.2. In the last five matches, both teams had a total of over 9.5 corners 3 times out of 5. Looking at the odds, the total corners over 9.5 is priced at 2.16, and under 9.5 at 1.57. AEK Athens is the favorite for winning the corner market with odds of 1.04. Considering both teams' average number of corners and the frequency of over 9.5 totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified for this match.