Prediction for match AEK Athens — Larisa

Match Preview

AEK Athens and Larisa will face off on March 7th in the Greek Super League. According to the 1X2 odds, AEK Athens is the favorite with odds of 1.23, a draw is offered at 5.90, and a victory for Larisa is at 11.70. The probabilities are distributed as follows: AEK Athens win - 76.13%, draw - 15.87%, Larisa win - 8.00%. This disparity in odds and percentages indicates a clear advantage for AEK Athens, but to find the optimal bet, it's important to consider other markets, especially totals and individual performances.

Team Stats and Figures

In their last three matches, AEK Athens played as follows: March 1st - Volos vs AEK Athens - 2-2, February 22nd - AEK Athens vs Levadiakos - 4-0, February 15th - PAOK vs AEK Athens - 0-0. Larisa's last three matches were: February 28th - OFI vs Larisa - 3-0, February 22nd - Larisa vs PAOK - 1-1, February 15th - Panathinaikos vs Larisa - 1-1. Over a five-match span, AEK Athens averages 59.6% possession, while Larisa averages 46.6%. The average number of yellow cards is 3.2 for AEK Athens and 2.8 for Larisa. Fouls are recorded at 15.4 for AEK Athens and 17 for Larisa, with offside calls at 2 against 1.6 respectively. In their last head-to-head meeting on September 21, 2025, Larisa and AEK Athens drew 1-1.

How Many Goals in AEK Athens vs Larisa Match

The average total goals over the last 5 matches for both teams is the same - 2.8. AEK Athens scores an average of 2.2 goals per game, conceding 0.6, while Larisa scores 1 and concedes 1.8. In terms of over 2.5 goals, AEK Athens had 3 out of 5 games with three or more goals, Larisa had 2 out of 5. In the first half, only 1 out of 5 matches for AEK Athens was high-scoring (over 1.5), while Larisa had 3 out of 5. In the second half, AEK Athens shows high scoring: 4 out of 5 matches with a total over 1.5, Larisa had 1 out of 5. AEK Athens frequently scores in the 0-15 and 46-60 minute intervals (38% each), while Larisa scores in the 0-15 and 61-75 minute intervals (33% each). AEK Athens mostly concedes late (76-90 minutes - 71%), while Larisa concedes in the 31-45 minute interval (44%). This team profile, along with the difference in average goals and AEK Athens' second-half scoring, suggests a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.68. This odds are supported by both average scoring and the frequency of over totals in recent matches.

Analysis of Corners Totals

On average, AEK Athens earns 5.4 corners over 5 matches, Larisa - 4.0. In a series of five games, AEK Athens only once had a total over 9.5, Larisa twice. For the corners total, both options are available: over 9.5 is at 2.15, under 9.5 at 1.58. AEK Athens is the favorite for the corners outcome with odds of 1.07. The combined average of both teams (9.4) is close to the 9.5 line, making a bet on over 9.5 logical for those willing to take a risk. Overall, both teams are capable of earning a significant number of corners, especially if the match is open. AEK Athens tends to take more corners, as confirmed by the average and the odds for winning on corners.