Prediction for match Ajax — Volendam, 24.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

On January 24 in the Eredivisie, Ajax will face Volendam, with odds reflecting a strong advantage for Ajax. Ajax's victory is priced at 1.29, a draw at 6.21, and a win for Volendam at 9.65. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 74.55% for Ajax's success, 15.49% for a draw, and 9.97% for Volendam's victory. The over 3.0 goals total is at 1.53, and both teams to score - yes is at 1.68, highlighting the expectation for a high-scoring game. The individual totals are also intriguing: Ajax over 2.5 goals is at 1.90, while Volendam over 0.5 goals is at 1.62.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Ajax played as follows: 20.01.2026 - Villarreal vs Ajax 1-2, 17.01.2026 - Ajax vs Go Ahead Eagles 2-2, 14.01.2026 - AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax 6-0. In the same period, Volendam's results were: 18.01.2026 - Volendam vs Utrecht 2-1, 15.01.2026 - Sparta Rotterdam vs Volendam 1-2, 10.01.2026 - AZ Alkmaar vs Volendam 1-0. In a five-match series, Ajax averaged 59.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 9 fouls, and 0.2 offsides. Volendam's averages were 42.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 11.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 30.08.2025, Volendam and Ajax drew 1-1.

Goal Scoring Patterns

In the last five matches, Ajax consistently exceeded the over 2.5 goals total - 5 out of 5 over, while Volendam did so in 3 out of 5. Ajax's matches averaged 4.4 goals, Volendam's 2.2. Ajax scores an average of 1.8 and concedes 2.6, while Volendam scores 0.8 and concedes 1.4. In the first half, Ajax exceeded 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5, Volendam in 2 out of 5. In the second half, Ajax exceeded 1.5 in 4 out of 5, Volendam in 1 out of 5. Ajax most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (31%), Volendam between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%). In terms of goals conceded, Ajax is most vulnerable between the 61st and 75th minutes (33%), Volendam between the 76th and 90th (50%). The statistics confirm the high tempo and scoring nature of Ajax's matches and Volendam's tendency to concede in the second half. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 3.0 goals at 1.53 seems logical: Ajax is consistently involved in high-scoring matches, Volendam often concedes, and the over 2.5 has been hit by both teams in most recent games.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Ajax averages 3.8 corners, Volendam 2.6 per match in a five-match series. For the over 9.5 corners total: Ajax has 2 out of 5 over, Volendam 3 out of 5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.53, under 9.5 are 2.31. Ajax is the favorite for the corner outcome at 1.11. Both teams do not show a clear tendency towards a high number of corners, but Volendam more frequently hits the over 9.5 total. A bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified considering the average values and frequency in recent matches. Ajax's win on corners could also be considered, given their favorite status in this aspect.