Prediction for match Akhmat — Baltika

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Russian Premier League on 23.04.2026, Akhmat will face Baltika. According to the 1X2 odds, Baltika's victory is priced at 2.61, a draw is offered at 3.14, and Akhmat's win is valued at 3.20. Looking at probability percentages, Baltika is at 37.78%, a draw at 31.40%, and Akhmat at 30.82%. Baltika is highlighted as the favorite by the odds, but the difference between the teams isn't significant, which is also reflected in the odds distribution.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Akhmat has averaged 42.4% ball possession, received an average of 2 yellow cards, committed 15.4 fouls, and had 1.2 offsides per game. Over the same period, Baltika has maintained 47.4% possession, received 2.6 yellow cards, committed 18.2 fouls, and had 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Akhmat played as follows: 19.04.2026 Spartak Moscow - Akhmat 3-1, 11.04.2026 Krylia Sovetov - Akhmat 2-2, 04.04.2026 Akhmat - Krasnodar 0-1. Baltika's last three encounters were: 19.04.2026 Krasnodar - Baltika 2-2, 11.04.2026 Baltika - Nizhny Novgorod 2-2, 05.04.2026 Dynamo Makhachkala - Baltika 2-2. In their last head-to-head on 18.02.2026, Baltika and Akhmat drew 2-2.

Goals Statistics

In their last five games, Akhmat has an average total of 2.4 goals, scoring 1 goal and conceding 1.4. Over the same period, Baltika averages 3.4 goals, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2. For over 2.5 goals: Akhmat has 2 out of 5, Baltika has 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times for Akhmat, and 1 time for Baltika. In the second half, Akhmat had no over 1.5 goals, while Baltika had 4 out of 5. Akhmat most frequently scores between the 16th-30th and 31st-45th minutes (29% each), while conceding most often at the end of the first half (31st-45th, 40%). Baltika most often scores in the last 15 minutes (76th-90th, 36%) and concedes either at the very beginning (0-15, 33%) or at the end (76th-90th, 33%). Given Baltika's high scoring rate, frequent over 2.5 totals, and decent average goal total, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.80 seems justified. Although Akhmat's goal stats aren't as high, Baltika can add to the game's dynamics.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Akhmat averages 3.2 corners per match, while Baltika averages 3.4. Over the last five matches, a total of over 9.5 corners was recorded only once by each team. If considering the total corners, the closest line to the average sum (6.6) is 7.5. The odds for over 7.5 corners are 1.45, and for under 7.5 corners - 2.48. For the outcome on corners, Akhmat is favored with odds of 1.98. Considering the average values of both teams and the low frequency of high totals, a bet on a moderate total of corners seems logical, with both sides likely to compete for set pieces.