Prediction for match Akhmat — FC Orenburg, 05.12.2025

Match Analysis: Akhmat vs FC Orenburg

The match between Akhmat and FC Orenburg is set to take place on December 5 in the Russian Premier League. Odds for Akhmat's victory are at 1.86, a draw is priced at 3.87, and a win for FC Orenburg is at 4.53. The probabilities of the outcomes are distributed as follows: 52.88% for Akhmat's success, 25.41% for a draw, and 21.71% for a win by FC Orenburg. Based on the odds and percentages, Akhmat is the more favorable choice for a bet on the outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Akhmat defeated Dynamo Moscow 2-1, lost to Rubin 0-1, and were beaten by Spartak Moscow 1-2. During the same period, FC Orenburg drew 0-0 with Baltika, lost 0-2 to CSKA Moscow, and were defeated 0-1 by Lokomotiv Moscow. Over the last five matches, Akhmat has an average possession rate of 51.2%, while FC Orenburg has 42%. Akhmat averages 2.2 yellow cards per game, and FC Orenburg averages 2.6. The average number of fouls over five matches is 11.8 for Akhmat and 15.8 for FC Orenburg. Akhmat records 2 offsides per game, while FC Orenburg has 1.6. In their last head-to-head on September 30, FC Orenburg won 1-0 against Akhmat.

Totals Statistics

In the last five matches, Akhmat has gone over 2.5 goals three times, and under twice. FC Orenburg has gone over 2.5 goals once, and under four times. Akhmat averages 3 goals per game, while FC Orenburg averages 1.6. Akhmat scores an average of 1 goal, and FC Orenburg 0.6. Goals conceded: Akhmat - 2, FC Orenburg - 1. In the first half, both teams have gone over 1.5 goals once, while in the second half, Akhmat has gone over 1.5 goals three times, and FC Orenburg once. Akhmat most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%), while FC Orenburg scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (43%). Akhmat concedes most between the 16th and 30th minutes and 31st and 45th minutes (29% each), while FC Orenburg concedes 100% of their goals between the 31st and 45th minutes. Overall, Akhmat shows more pronounced scoring ability, while FC Orenburg has low attacking activity. Based on these data, a bet on FC Orenburg's individual total under 1, with odds of 1.60, seems justified: the team averages 0.6 goals per game and has only surpassed 1 goal in one of their last five matches.

Corners Totals Analysis

Akhmat averages 5.6 corners per match, while FC Orenburg averages 5.8. In the last five matches, Akhmat has gone over 9.5 corners twice, and FC Orenburg three times. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the average sum of both teams (11.4) is 11.5. For a total corners line of 11.5, the odds are: over 11.5 - 2.95, under 11.5 - 1.31. Akhmat is favored to win on corners with odds of 1.75. Given both teams' activity in taking corners, a bet on over 11.5 corners looks interesting for further consideration, with Akhmat often leading in this aspect.