Prediction for match Al-Ahli — Al Akhdoud

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the upcoming Saudi Pro League match between Al-Ahli and Al Akhdoud, bookmakers give Al Akhdoud almost no chance. The odds for an Al-Ahli win are set at 1.05, a draw is at 13.80, and an Al Akhdoud victory is at 22.00. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Al-Ahli - 88.98%, draw - 6.77%, Al Akhdoud - 4.25%. This reflects a significant difference in class and current form between the teams. Goal total options: over 3.5 goals is at 1.80, under 3.5 goals - 1.95. Both teams to score: yes at 2.07, no at 1.66. Al-Ahli's individual total over 2.5 goals is at 1.55, and Al Akhdoud's individual total under 0.5 goals is at 1.65. For double chance Draw/Away, the odds are 8.10. The most likely outcome is a confident victory for Al-Ahli, as confirmed by both the odds and probability distribution.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Al-Ahli has shown consistency: average ball possession is 53.4%, the team receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 13.6 fouls, and records 3.4 offsides per game. Al Akhdoud falls short in these metrics: possession 44.6%, 1.6 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In the last three matches, Al-Ahli: 29.04.2026 - Al Nasr - Al-Ahli - 2-0, 25.04.2026 - Al-Ahli - Machida Zelvia - 1-0, 20.04.2026 - Vissel Kobe - Al-Ahli - 1-2. Al Akhdoud in their last three matches: 30.04.2026 - Al Akhdoud - Al-Ettifaq - 1-3, 23.04.2026 - Damak - Al Akhdoud - 2-0, 11.04.2026 - Al Akhdoud - Al Nasr - 0-2. The last head-to-head meeting was on 10.01.2026: Al Akhdoud - Al-Ahli - 0-1. These results highlight the difference in level and stability between the opponents.

How Many Goals Will Be Scored in Al-Ahli vs Al Akhdoud

In a series of five matches, Al-Ahli has an average of 2 goals per game, while Al Akhdoud has 2.2. Al-Ahli scores 1.2 goals per match, conceding 0.8; Al Akhdoud scores only 0.4, conceding 1.8. Over 2.5 goals occurred for Al-Ahli 2 times out of 5, for Al Akhdoud - 1 out of 5, indicating a tendency for low-scoring games, especially for Al Akhdoud. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred for Al-Ahli 1 time out of 5, for Al Akhdoud - never. In the second half, Al-Ahli had 2 out of 5 for over 1.5, Al Akhdoud - 1 out of 5. Goal intervals: Al-Ahli most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (40%) and 76-90 minutes (40%), Al Akhdoud - between 16-30 and 46-60 minutes (33% each). For goals conceded: Al-Ahli most often allows goals between 61-75 minutes (67%), Al Akhdoud - evenly across all five-minute intervals of the second half (20% each). Considering Al Akhdoud's low scoring and Al-Ahli's solid defense, a bet on Al Akhdoud's individual total under 0.5 at 1.65 seems logical: the team scores very little, and Al-Ahli's defense is quite reliable.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Al-Ahli earns 3.8 corners per match, Al Akhdoud - 4, totaling 7.8. In the last five matches, over 9.5 corners occurred for Al-Ahli 1 time, for Al Akhdoud - 3 times. The odds for corner totals: over 9.5 is at 1.62, under 9.5 - 2.06. Based on average values and frequencies, the match doesn't look promising for a high corner total, although Al Akhdoud had over 9.5 corners three times in a series of five games. For the corner outcome, Al-Ahli is favored with odds of 1.06. Overall, it makes sense to consider a cautious bet on corner totals closer to 9.5, given that neither team consistently demonstrates a high corner profile.