Prediction for match Al-Qadisiyah — Al Nassr

Odds and Probability Percentages

In the Pro League match between Al-Qadisiyah and Al Nassr on May 3rd, the 1X2 odds are as follows: Al-Qadisiyah win is priced at 3.16, a draw is at 3.90, and an Al Nassr win is at 2.02. In terms of probability percentages: Al-Qadisiyah - 29.63%, draw - 24.01%, Al Nassr - 46.36%. Al Nassr has the highest percentage and the lowest odds, making them the favorite for this match. However, the gap in probabilities isn't extreme, leaving room for competition.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at additional metrics, Al-Qadisiyah has an average possession of 64%, 2.2 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 3.8 offsides per game over a five-match span. Al Nassr, in the same period, holds 58.4% possession, receives 1.8 yellows, commits 13.6 fouls, and records 2.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Al-Qadisiyah played as follows: 29.04.2026 - Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah - 0-4, 14.04.2026 - Al-Qadisiyah vs Al Shabab - 2-2, 09.04.2026 - Damac vs Al-Qadisiyah - 1-1. Al Nassr's last three encounters were: 29.04.2026 - Al Nassr vs Al-Ahli - 2-0, 15.04.2026 - Al Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq - 1-0, 11.04.2026 - Al Akhdoud vs Al Nassr - 0-2. Their last head-to-head was on 08.01.2026: Al Nassr vs Al-Qadisiyah - 1-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Al-Qadisiyah averages 4 goals per game over five matches, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.6. Al Nassr averages 3.4 goals per match, scoring 3 and conceding only 0.4. For over 2.5 goals: Al-Qadisiyah has 4 out of 5 games over, Al Nassr 2 out of 5. In the first half, Al-Qadisiyah went over 1.5 goals 4 out of 5 times, Al Nassr 1 out of 5. In the second half, Al-Qadisiyah 4 out of 5 over 1.5, Al Nassr 3 out of 5. Al-Qadisiyah most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (33%) and concedes in two intervals: 31-45 and 76-90 (36% each). Al Nassr scores most often at the end of the first half (31-45, 38%) and in the last 15 minutes (76-90, 38%), and concedes between 46-60 (33%). Given the average goals and frequent over 2.5 totals for Al-Qadisiyah, along with Al Nassr's high scoring, considering over 3.0 goals at 1.58 is a sensible main prediction.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Al-Qadisiyah averages 9.4 corners per match, Al Nassr 7. In a five-match span, Al-Qadisiyah exceeded 9.5 corners 4 out of 5 times, Al Nassr 2 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the line closest to their average total (16.4) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.77, under 9.5 at 1.89. The corner outcome odds are equal: Al-Qadisiyah win - 2.09, Al Nassr win - 2.09, draw - 6.20. Considering Al-Qadisiyah's high average corners and frequent over 9.5 totals, betting on the over seems justified.