Prediction for match Al Shabab — Al Nassr

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

The match between Al Shabab and Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabian Pro League is scheduled for May 7, 2026. Al Nassr is favored to win with odds of 1.33, reflecting a 70.29% probability according to bookmakers. A draw is priced at 5.53 (16.90%), while a victory for Al Shabab is set at 7.30, with a probability of 12.81%. Besides the match outcomes, there are also markets for totals, both teams to score, and individual performances, offering various betting options.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Al Shabab played as follows: May 3 - Al Shabab vs Al Taawoun 1-5, April 28 - Al Shabab vs Al Fateh 1-1, April 14 - Al-Qadisiyah vs Al Shabab 2-2. Al Nassr's recent results include: May 3 - Al-Qadisiyah vs Al Nassr 3-1, April 29 - Al Nassr vs Al-Ahli 2-0, April 15 - Al Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq 1-0. In their head-to-head match on January 17, 2026, Al Nassr defeated Al Shabab 3-2. Additional metrics show Al Shabab averages 51.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game over five matches. Al Nassr averages 56.8% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 3 offsides per match.

Goal Predictions for Al Shabab vs Al Nassr

In the last five matches, both teams have an average total of 3.2 goals per game. Al Shabab scores 1.4 and concedes 1.8, while Al Nassr scores 2.2 and concedes 1. Regarding over 2.5 goals: both teams had 2 out of 5 matches with three or more goals, and 3 times the under hit. For halves, Al Shabab had over 1.5 goals in the first half 3 times, and in the second half 2 out of 5. Al Nassr had over 1.5 goals in the second half 3 times, and in the first half 2 out of 5. Al Shabab frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (43%) and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (56%). Al Nassr often scores late (76th-90th minutes, 36%) and concedes between the 31st-45th and 46th-60th minutes (both 40%). The odds for both teams to score are 1.55 for 'yes' and 2.27 for 'no'. The combined goal stats and frequency of over totals suggest a high likelihood of both teams scoring, given Al Nassr's attacking style and Al Shabab's regular concessions. Thus, betting on both teams to score: yes at 1.55 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Al Shabab averages 7 corners per match, while Al Nassr averages 6.4. Over the last five games, Al Shabab hit over 9.5 corners 4 times, and Al Nassr 2 out of 5. The line is set at 9.5 corners: over 9.5 is priced at 1.70, under 9.5 at 1.98. Al Nassr is favored in the corner market with odds of 1.31. Considering both teams' average activity and Al Shabab's frequent overs, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this match. Individual corner metrics for each team can also be considered, based on their five-match averages.