Prediction for match Albacete — Real Madrid, 14.01.2026

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

The Copa del Rey continues with a match between Albacete and Real Madrid on January 14, 2026. The odds for an Albacete victory are 11.30, a draw is at 6.24, and a Real Madrid win is priced at 1.28. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Real Madrid win - 75.85%, draw - 15.56%, Albacete win - 8.59%. Real Madrid is favored by both the odds and the percentages, reflecting the difference in class and recent performances of the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Albacete has averaged 43.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Real Madrid shows 51.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. Albacete's last three matches: January 10 - Real Sociedad II - Albacete 0-0, January 4 - Albacete - Leganes 1-3, December 21 - Granada - Albacete 1-1. Real Madrid's last three games: January 11 - Barcelona - Real Madrid 3-2, January 8 - Atletico Madrid - Real Madrid 1-2, January 4 - Real Madrid - Real Betis 5-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Albacete has an average of 2.8 goals, while Real Madrid has 4.2. Albacete scores 1 goal per game and concedes 1.8, Real Madrid scores 2.8 and concedes 1.4. Over 2.5 goals occurred 3 times out of 5 for Albacete and 4 out of 5 for Real Madrid. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once for Albacete and twice for Real Madrid. In the second half, both teams had over 1.5 goals 3 times out of 5. Goal intervals: Albacete most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%) and concedes between the 61st and 75th minutes (44%). Real Madrid most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (38%) and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%). The overall goal stats and frequency of over 2.5 goals for both teams support a bet on over 3.0 goals, which is priced at 1.60.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Both teams have an average of 5.8 corners per game. In the last five matches, both Albacete and Real Madrid had over 9.5 corners 5 out of 5 times. For corner totals: over 9.5 is priced at 1.78, under 9.5 at 1.93. Real Madrid is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.18. Considering the average corner stats and frequent occurrences of over 9.5 corners, betting on over 9.5 corners seems logical for this match.