Prediction for match Almere City FC — De Graafschap

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Eredivisie clash between Almere City FC and De Graafschap on May 6, 2026, bookmakers are offering odds of 2.02 for an Almere City win, 3.20 for a De Graafschap victory, and 3.90 for a draw. In terms of probability percentages, Almere City has a 46.53% chance, a draw is at 24.10%, and De Graafschap has a 29.37% chance. These figures suggest that Almere City is the favorite, but De Graafschap also has a considerable chance of success. The goal totals line sees several odds above 1.50, indicating expectations for a high-scoring game. Odds for over 3.5 goals stand at 1.80, and for over 3.25 goals at 1.65, highlighting bookmakers' anticipation of active attacking play from both teams.

Recent Matches Overview

Looking at recent results, Almere City won 3-0 against Den Bosch (02.05.2026), secured a 3-2 away victory over Den Bosch (29.04.2026), and lost 1-3 to VVV-Venlo (24.04.2026). During the same period, De Graafschap lost 0-1 to Emmen (24.04.2026), defeated Cambuur 3-1 (17.04.2026), and drew 3-3 with VVV-Venlo (11.04.2026). On average, in their last five games, Almere City had 52% possession, committed 9.8 fouls, received 0.8 yellow cards, and were caught offside 1.4 times. De Graafschap averaged 56% possession, 10.6 fouls, 1.2 yellow cards, and 2.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on January 18, 2026, Almere City beat De Graafschap 2-0.

How Many Goals in the Almere City vs De Graafschap Match

The scoring form of both teams is impressive: Almere City averages 4 goals per game, and De Graafschap has the same average. Over the last five matches, Almere City scored an average of 2.4 goals, while De Graafschap scored 2.6, conceding 1.6 and 1.4 goals respectively. For over 2.5 goals, Almere City has 5 out of 5, and De Graafschap has 4 out of 5. In the first half, Almere City had over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5, while De Graafschap had 1 out of 5. In the second half, Almere City had over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5, and De Graafschap in 3 out of 5. Goal intervals show Almere City often scores between the 31st and 45th minute (36%), while De Graafschap scores between the 61st and 75th minute and the 76th and 90th minute (36% each). Almere City concedes most often between the 61st and 90th minute (33% in each interval), while De Graafschap concedes from the 76th to 90th minute (50%). All this suggests a high chance of a high-scoring game, with over 3.5 goals priced at 1.80.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Almere City averages 6.4 corners per match, while De Graafschap averages 5.6. In their last five matches, both teams saw over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 games. The line closest to their average total (12) is 9.5, with odds available for both outcomes. Odds for over 9.5 corners are at 1.62, and under 9.5 corners are at 2.15. Based on this data, considering over 9.5 corners is logical, as both teams frequently earn many corners. Overall, the match promises to be rich in set-pieces and activity in the penalty area.