Prediction for match Waalwijk — Willem II

Match Analysis: Waalwijk vs Willem II

On May 5th, Waalwijk will face Willem II in the Eredivisie. The odds for Waalwijk to win are 2.45, for Willem II - 2.60, and a draw is at 3.55. The probability percentages are as follows: Waalwijk - 37.99%, draw - 26.22%, Willem II - 35.80%. Bookmakers do not see a clear favorite, but Waalwijk has a slight edge in probability assessment. The betting line also includes odds for main totals and both teams to score, allowing for various betting options.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Waalwijk held 47.8% possession, averaged 1.2 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per game. Willem II, in the same period, had 43.4% possession, received 1.2 yellow cards, committed 8.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Waalwijk's last three matches were: 01.05.2026 - Waalwijk vs Roda - 4-2, 28.04.2026 - Roda vs Waalwijk - 1-1, 24.04.2026 - Waalwijk vs Jong PSV - 4-1. Willem II's last three games: 24.04.2026 - Dordrecht vs Willem II - 1-2, 17.04.2026 - Willem II vs Jong AZ - 3-0, 12.04.2026 - Willem II vs Almere City - 2-1. The last head-to-head meeting was on February 8, 2026: Willem II vs Waalwijk - 2-1.

Goal Statistics

Waalwijk, over their last five matches, has an average total of 4 goals, scoring 2.4 and conceding 1.6 per game. Willem II, in the same span, averages 2.2 goals, scoring 1.8 and conceding just 0.4. Both teams have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 games. By halves, Waalwijk has gone over 1.5 goals in the first half once in 5 games and over 1.5 in the second half 5 out of 5 times. Willem II has gone over 1.5 goals in the first half once and twice in the second half in their last 5 games. Waalwijk most often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (44%), while Willem II scores most frequently in the first 15 minutes (43%). Waalwijk is most vulnerable to conceding between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%), while Willem II has a 25% chance in four different intervals: 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90. Considering Waalwijk's high scoring rate and Willem II's solid performance, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.55 seems logical: both teams regularly find the net, with Waalwijk being particularly active in the second half.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Waalwijk averages 4.8 corners per match, while Willem II averages 6. In a series of five games, Waalwijk has gone over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5, and Willem II in all 5. For the 9.5 corner total, both options are available: over 9.5 - 1.80, under 9.5 - 1.90. Looking at the averages, a bet on over 9.5 corners appears justified, considering both teams' activity in this aspect. It's also worth noting that Willem II tends to take more corners, which could influence the final corner stats.