Prediction for match Almeria — Malaga

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Segunda Division on April 19, Almeria will face Malaga. The odds for an Almeria win are set at 1.92, while a Malaga victory is at 3.80, and a draw is priced at 3.85. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Almeria - 49.90%, draw - 24.89%, Malaga - 25.21%. Among the main bets, the over 2.5 goals market stands out with odds of 1.61, which seems justified given both teams' scoring streaks.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Almeria played as follows: on April 12, they lost to Racing Santander 1-5, on April 5, they defeated Leganes 2-1, and on April 2, they lost to Castellon 0-2. During the same period, Malaga's results were: a 2-0 victory over Las Palmas on April 11, a 1-1 draw with Deportivo La Coruna on April 4, and a 3-3 draw with FC Andorra on April 1. On average, over the last 5 games, Almeria has 53% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 13.2 fouls, and is caught offside 2 times. Malaga shows 46% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last head-to-head on December 21, 2025, Malaga beat Almeria 2-1.

How Many Goals in the Almeria vs Malaga Match

Almeria's goal stats are impressive: over a five-match stretch, the average total goals in their games is 4.2, with the team scoring 2.2 and conceding 2. Malaga's average total is 2.6, scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8. Almeria has surpassed the over 2.5 goals mark in 4 out of 5, while Malaga has done so in 2 out of 5. In the first half, Almeria has 4 out of 5 over 1.5, Malaga has 2 out of 5. In the second half, Almeria has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Malaga 3 out of 5. Almeria most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%), and concedes mostly in the first 15 minutes (50%). Malaga scores most often between the 46th and 60th minutes (50%) and concedes evenly in three intervals: 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 (29% each). These figures confirm that both teams can maintain a high tempo and create chances throughout the match. The prediction for over 2.5 goals seems a logical choice, considering Almeria's attacking profile and Malaga's decent scoring form.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Almeria earns 4.8 corners per game, while Malaga averages 6. In the last 5 matches, Almeria has 2 out of 5 over 9.5 total corners, Malaga has 4 out of 5. The closest average corners total is 9.5, and both options are available: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.79, under 9.5 at 1.89. In terms of corner outcomes, Almeria is the favorite with odds of 1.52. Considering both teams' activity in delivering crosses from the flanks, betting on over 9.5 total corners seems justified, especially given Malaga's frequent surpassing of this total. Individual corner totals for both teams can also be considered, as both regularly deliver at least 4-5 corners per match.