Prediction for match Sporting Gijon — Cadiz

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Segunda Division on April 19, Sporting Gijon will face Cadiz. The odds for a Sporting Gijon victory are 1.60, a draw is priced at 4.03, and a win for Cadiz is at 5.86. Probability-wise, there's a 59.88% chance of a Sporting Gijon win, a 23.77% chance of a draw, and a 16.35% chance of a Cadiz victory. Sporting Gijon has a clear advantage according to the odds and probabilities, but the goal statistics and recent match performances of both teams suggest low scoring. The market for total goals is intriguing, with under 2.5 goals priced at 1.96.

Team Results and Statistics

Sporting Gijon has been struggling in their last five matches: they lost 0-1 to Burgos on April 11, narrowly beat Real Sociedad II 1-0 on April 6, lost 1-3 to Racing Santander on April 1, drew 1-1 with Deportivo La Coruna on March 28, and were defeated 0-1 by Las Palmas on March 22. Cadiz is also on a rough patch: they lost 0-1 to FC Andorra on April 12, fell 1-3 to Cordoba on April 4, were thrashed 0-3 by Real Valladolid on March 31, lost 1-2 to AD Ceuta on March 28, and were beaten 0-3 by Malaga on March 21. On average over the last 5 games, Sporting Gijon has 48% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Cadiz averages 44.2% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 3.2 offsides. Their last meeting was on January 9, 2026, ending in a 3-2 win for Cadiz.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Sporting Gijon has an average total of 1.8 goals per match, while Cadiz has 2.8. Sporting Gijon scores an average of 0.6 and concedes 1.2, whereas Cadiz scores 0.4 and concedes 2.4. For over 2.5 goals: only 1 out of 5 matches for Sporting Gijon went over, while 4 out of 5 for Cadiz did. However, Sporting Gijon has a clear low-scoring profile, as evidenced by their recent matches. In the first half, Sporting Gijon never had more than 1.5 goals in 5 games, and only once in the second half. Cadiz had more than 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 out of 5 games, and the same for the second half. Goal intervals: Sporting Gijon most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (43%) and concedes between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (50% each). Cadiz scores most often between 16-30 and 61-75 minutes (33% each) and concedes evenly across four different intervals. Given these stats, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.96 seems logical: Sporting Gijon has low scoring, and Cadiz scores even less, despite higher overall match scoring.

Corner Totals Analysis

In their last 5 games, Sporting Gijon averages 6.8 corners, while Cadiz averages 2.6. For over 9.5 corners: 4 out of 5 matches for Sporting Gijon went over, while none for Cadiz did. The closest line to the average total (9.4) is 9.5 corners, with over 9.5 priced at 1.81 and under at 1.87. Sporting Gijon is favored in corner bets with odds of 1.38. Given the high corner activity from Sporting Gijon, it makes sense to consider a bet on Sporting Gijon's individual corners over 5.5 or total corners over 9.5.