Prediction for match Alverca — Famalicao

Match Analysis: Alverca vs Famalicao

On January 4, 2026, Alverca will face Famalicao in the Primeira Liga. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Famalicao win is priced at 2.14, a draw at 3.36, and an Alverca win at 3.74. In terms of probability, Famalicao leads with 45.27%, a draw is at 28.83%, and Alverca at 25.90%. These numbers indicate Famalicao's pre-match advantage, but the gap is not significant, which could add intrigue to the match. In the goal totals market, the over 2.5 goals bet is at 2.17, while both teams to score: yes and no are both at 1.85.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Alverca has an average ball possession of 41%, 2.6 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. Famalicao has higher possession at 49%, averages 2 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 0.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Alverca lost to Estoril 1-4 (27.12.2025), Porto 0-3 (22.12.2025), and Arouca 0-1 (14.12.2025). During the same period, Famalicao lost to Estrela 2-3 (27.12.2025), Benfica 0-1 (22.12.2025), and Porto 1-4 (18.12.2025). The last head-to-head was on November 20, 2021, when Famalicao defeated Alverca 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, Alverca had over 2.5 goals in 2 games and under in 3, while Famalicao had over 2.5 in 4 games and under in 1. On average, Alverca's matches see 2.4 goals, while Famalicao's see 3.6. Alverca scores 0.8 and concedes 1.6 on average, while Famalicao scores 1.6 and concedes 2. In the first half, Alverca had over 1.5 goals once, and Famalicao 4 times, indicating a more active start by Famalicao. In the second half, Alverca had over 1.5 goals 3 times, Famalicao 2 times. Goal intervals show Alverca most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (43%) and concedes between 61-75 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Famalicao scores evenly in three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 76-90 minutes (25% each), and concedes mostly in the first 30 minutes (33% in both 0-15 and 16-30 intervals). Overall, Famalicao appears more prolific, and both teams' average goals suggest considering a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.17. This is supported by Famalicao's frequent over 2.5 results and decent average match goal tally.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Both teams average 4.4 corners over 5 matches. During this period, Alverca had over 9.5 corners in 3 games, Famalicao in 4. The total closest to the average (8.8) is 8.5, with odds of 1.44 for over and under. The 9.5 total offers 1.79 for over and 1.89 for under. Famalicao is favored in corners with odds of 1.62. Based on the data, betting on over 8.5 or 9.5 corners seems logical, as both teams regularly win at least 4 corners per match, and over 9.5 corners occurred in most recent games.