Prediction for match America Mineiro — Sport Recife

Match Analysis: America Mineiro vs Sport Recife

In Brazil's Serie B on April 18, 2026, America Mineiro will face Sport Recife. The odds are set as follows: America Mineiro win at 2.53, draw at 3.00, and Sport Recife win at 2.85. In terms of probabilities, America Mineiro's success is estimated at 36.62%, a draw at 30.88%, and Sport Recife's victory at 32.50%. Based on these percentages, America Mineiro has a slight edge, but the gap between the teams is minimal. For the total goals market over 2.5 goals, the odds are 2.40 for over and 1.54 for under. Both teams to score: yes at 1.98, no at 1.74. For individual team totals: America Mineiro over 1 goal at 1.77, Sport Recife over 1 goal at 1.95. First-half totals: over 0.5 goals at 1.50, over 1 goal at 2.25. Second-half totals: over 1.5 goals at 2.54. Thus, bookmakers expect a moderately high-scoring match but not a goal fest.

Team Stats and Results

In their last five matches, America Mineiro has averaged 60.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.6 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. Sport Recife averages 56.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last three games, America Mineiro lost to Novorizontino 0-3 (April 12, 2026), drew with Athletic 1-1 (April 5, 2026), and lost to Botafogo SP 1-2 (April 1, 2026). Sport Recife drew 2-2 with Avai (April 11, 2026), beat Londrina 2-1 (April 4, 2026), and drew 1-1 with Vila Nova (April 1, 2026). The last head-to-head meeting was on October 29, 2024, with America Mineiro winning 2-1.

Goals Expected in America Mineiro vs Sport Recife

In their last five matches, both teams have an average total of 2.6 goals per game. America Mineiro scores an average of 0.6 and concedes 2, while Sport Recife scores 1.2 and concedes 1.4. For matches with over 2.5 goals: both teams have 3 out of 5 matches with three or more goals. By halves: America Mineiro has 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half and the same in the second, while Sport Recife has 1 out of 5 in the first half and 4 out of 5 in the second. America Mineiro most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (50%), while Sport Recife scores most often between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%). For goals conceded: America Mineiro concedes 43% of their goals between the 76th and 90th minutes, while Sport Recife concedes 38% in the same period. This profile suggests a tendency for goals in the second half. However, the average scoring rates for both teams are not very high, especially for America Mineiro. Nevertheless, both teams regularly see over 2.5 goals in their matches, and Sport Recife frequently has two or more goals in the second half. Against this backdrop, a bet on over 1.75 goals at 1.53 seems logical: it covers scenarios with two or more goals, and the average figures and frequency of occurrences support this choice.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For corners, America Mineiro averages 6.8 per game over five matches, and Sport Recife averages 6. In a series of five games, both teams have 3 out of 5 matches with over 9.5 total corners. Looking at the odds, over 12.5 total corners is at 3.35, while under 12.5 is at 1.28. There is no clear favorite in corners as both teams have similar stats. Overall, both teams tend to play actively on the wings, leading to a high number of corners. A bet on over 12.5 total corners could be an interesting option for an additional play, considering the average stats of both teams and the frequency of occurrences.