Prediction for match Amiens — Troyes

Match Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In Ligue 2 France, Amiens will face Troyes on March 2, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Troyes is the favorite, with odds of 1.82, which corresponds to a 51.49% probability of winning. The odds for a draw are 3.52 (26.62%), and for an Amiens win, they are 4.28 (21.89%). The odds and probabilities suggest that Troyes is considered the most likely winner of this match. Interestingly, the difference between the chances of a draw and an Amiens win is not that significant, but Troyes still has the edge.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Amiens played as follows: 21.02.2026 - Reims - Amiens - 0-0, 13.02.2026 - Amiens - Dunkerque - 1-4, 09.02.2026 - Amiens - Clermont Foot - 4-3. Troyes' last three results were: 21.02.2026 - Troyes - Pau - 4-3, 16.02.2026 - Bastia - Troyes - 0-0, 07.02.2026 - Nancy - Troyes - 2-1. In their last head-to-head meeting on 28.10.2025, Troyes defeated Amiens 3-1. Over a five-match series, Amiens had 43.6% possession, an average of 1.8 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Troyes had 58.4% possession, 3.4 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 4.2 offsides on average. These numbers show that Troyes plays more aggressively and controls the ball more often, while Amiens commits fewer fouls and receives fewer warnings.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, both teams played over 2.5 goals three times: Amiens had 3 out of 5 over 2.5, and Troyes also had 3 out of 5 over 2.5. Amiens' average goals for and against is 3.2 per game, while Troyes' is 3.6. Amiens scores an average of 1.2 goals, and Troyes 1.4. Both teams have unreliable defenses: Amiens concedes 2, and Troyes 2.2 per match. By halves, Amiens had only 1 out of 5 over 1.5 goals in the first half, but 3 out of 5 in the second half. Troyes, on the other hand, had 4 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second. Amiens most often scores between 76-90 minutes (44%) and concedes between 61-75 (38%). Troyes is most prolific between 31-45 (38%) and concedes most often also between 31-45 (40%). All this indicates a tendency for both teams to have high-scoring matches, and the average goals and frequency of over 2.5 support a bet on over 2.5 goals.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

On average, Amiens takes 5.2 corners per match, while Troyes takes 4.6. In the last five matches, Amiens had 4 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, while Troyes had 2 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.8) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is offered at 1.92, and under 9.5 at 1.77. Troyes is favored in the corner outcome with odds of 1.55. Considering both teams average almost 10 corners together, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners. It's also worth noting that Amiens more often exceeds the corner total, while Troyes commits more fouls and receives more yellow cards, which could lead to additional set-pieces and corners.