Prediction for match Aris — AEK Athens

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Greek Super League on January 11, Aris will face AEK Athens. The odds for an AEK Athens win are 1.65, for a draw - 3.55, and for an Aris victory - 5.56. The probability of an Aris win is estimated at 16.85%, a draw at 26.39%, and AEK Athens' chances at 56.77%. AEK Athens is considered the favorite based on odds and percentages, which is supported by the recent match statistics of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Aris played as follows: 20.12.2025 Asteras - Aris 0-1, 14.12.2025 Aris - Olympiacos 0-0, 07.12.2025 PAOK - Aris 3-1. During the same period, AEK Athens secured victories: 21.12.2025 AEK Athens - OFI 2-1, 18.12.2025 AEK Athens - Universitatea Craiova 3-2, 14.12.2025 Panetolikos - AEK Athens 0-5. On average over five matches, Aris had 44% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 12.4 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. AEK Athens showed 55.4% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 3 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 23.11.2025, AEK Athens defeated Aris 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Aris has an average total of 1.8 goals per match, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1 goal per game. AEK Athens has an average total of 4.2 goals per match, with 3.2 scored and 1 conceded. Regarding over 2.5 totals, Aris played over in 2 out of 5 matches, while AEK Athens did so in all 5 matches. In the first half, Aris recorded over 1.5 goals only once out of 5, while AEK Athens did so 2 out of 5 times. In the second half, Aris was over 1.5 goals only once, whereas AEK Athens did so in all 5 matches. Aris most often scores between the 16-30 and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), while AEK Athens scores most frequently between the 61-75 minute interval (36%). Aris concedes most often in the 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each). AEK Athens concedes most frequently in the 61-75 minute interval (36%). Considering AEK Athens' high scoring rate, regular over 2.5 totals, and strong attacking play, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.14 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average over five matches, Aris takes 3.2 corners, while AEK Athens takes 4.8. Regarding over 9.5 corner totals, both Aris and AEK Athens played over in 2 out of 5 matches. The nearest total to the average corner sum is 8, with a couple of outcomes: over 8 corners - 1.69, under 8 - 2.10. For the corner outcome, AEK Athens is favored with odds of 1.55. Considering AEK Athens' activity in corner counts and overall dynamics, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 8 corners or an AEK Athens win on corners.