Prediction for match Aris — Asteras

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On November 9, Aris will face Asteras in the Greek Super League. The main odds for the outcomes are: Aris win at 1.70, draw at 3.50, and Asteras win at 5.50. The probability percentages for 1X2 are: Aris - 55.72%, draw - 27.06%, Asteras - 17.22%. Aris remains the favorite, but the gap between the first and second outcomes is noticeable, and the probability of a draw exceeds a quarter. Asteras has significantly higher odds, reflecting their underdog status.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last 5 matches, Aris averaged 51.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per game. Asteras had 48.2% possession, 3.8 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. Aris's last three matches: November 1, Olympiacos vs Aris 2-1, October 26, Levadiakos vs Aris 1-1, October 19, Aris vs Panathinaikos 1-1. Asteras's last matches: November 3, Asteras vs OFI 3-0, October 26, Panathinaikos vs Asteras 2-0, October 19, Asteras vs Kifisia 2-2. In their head-to-head on May 10: Aris vs Asteras 4-2, with over 2.5 goals recorded.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match span, Aris scored an average of 0.8 goals, conceded 1.6, with a total of 2.4 goals per match. Asteras had significantly higher numbers: 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, with a total of 3.6. For over 2.5 goals: Aris had 2 out of 5, Asteras had 4 out of 5. In the first half, Aris had no matches with over 1.5 goals (0 out of 5), while Asteras had 1 out of 5. In the second half, Aris had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, Asteras had 3 out of 5. Goal intervals: Aris most frequently scored between 46-60 minutes (38%), Asteras between 61-75 minutes (33%). For goals conceded: Aris most often allowed goals in the first 15 minutes (50%), Asteras in the 16-30 and 31-45 minute intervals (33% each). These data suggest a reasonable bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.95.

Corner Totals Analysis

The average number of corners for Aris in the last 5 matches is 6.2, and for Asteras, it's 4.4. For over 9.5 corners: Aris had 3 out of 5, Asteras had 1 out of 5. The odds for corner totals are: over 8.5 at 1.88, under 8.5 at 1.92. For corners, Aris is the favorite with odds of 1.50. Considering the latest games and average corner productivity, it makes sense to consider a bet on Aris's individual corner total over 4.5 (1.67), as well as the overall total over 8.5, based on recent performances.