Prediction for match Aris — Larisa

Match Analysis: Aris vs Larisa

In the Greek Super League match between Aris and Larisa, bookmakers have made Aris the favorite: Aris win is at 1.60, a draw is at 3.70, and Larisa win is at 5.79. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Aris 58.52%, draw 25.31%, Larisa 16.17%. Despite Aris's clear advantage in the odds, the probability of a draw is quite high, and Larisa is seen as an underdog, but not without hope. The over/under 2.5 goals options are: over - 1.99, under - 1.79. Both teams to score: yes - 1.98, no - 1.74. For the second half, under 1.5 goals is at 1.65, and over 1.5 goals is at 2.16. The option for Aris's individual total over 1.5 goals is at 1.80. For double chance, 1X is at 1.11, X2 is at 2.28, 12 is at 1.25.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Aris scored an average of 0.6 goals, conceded 1.0, had 39.2% possession, 4.2 corners, 1.8 yellow cards, 14.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Larisa, in the same period, also scored 0.6 but conceded 1.8, had 50% possession, 3.6 corners, 2.8 yellows, 15.6 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. In their last three games, Aris lost to AEK Athens 0-1, drew with Asteras 0-0, and lost to Olympiacos 1-2. Larisa lost to OFI 1-2, Panetolikos 0-3, and Levadiakos 0-2. In their head-to-head on August 10, 2021, Aris and Larisa played to a 0-0 draw, with under 2.5 goals hitting.

Goals by Match Statistics

In the last 5 games, Aris had over 2.5 goals just once, while Larisa had it twice. By halves, Aris never had over 1.5 in the first half, and only once in the second half did they have over 1.5. Larisa had over 1.5 in the first half in 3 out of 5 cases, and only once in the second half. Average totals over 5 matches: Aris - 1.6, Larisa - 2.4. Aris most often scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (60%), and concedes mostly in the first 15 minutes (67%). Larisa spreads their goals over four periods: 0-15, 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes at 25% each. Larisa concedes most often in the 0-15 and 31-45 minute marks (38% each). Both teams have low scoring rates, with Aris having just 1 goal in 5 games. Both teams to score: yes - 1.98, no - 1.74, but considering the low scoring and frequent unders on totals, it's more logical to consider under 2.5 goals at 1.79.

Corners in the Match

Aris averages 4.2 corners per match, Larisa - 3.6. In the last 5 games, Aris had over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 matches, while Larisa had it just once. Looking at the odds for total corners, the closest to the average is total 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.88, under 8.5 is at 1.80. For corners outcome, Aris is favored with odds of 1.37. Given the recent match statistics, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified, especially if Aris controls the ball more and creates set-piece opportunities. Also, note Aris's individual corner stats - over 5.0 is at 1.80.