Prediction for match Aris — Olympiakos

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the Greek Super League on December 14, Aris will face Olympiakos. Olympiakos is the favorite with odds of 1.45 for their victory. A draw is priced at 4.05, while an Aris win is at 7.50. The probability of Olympiakos winning is 64.46%, a draw is 23.08%, and Aris winning is 12.46%. These odds and percentages highlight Olympiakos's clear advantage heading into this match, reflecting bookmakers' expectations based on their consistent form in recent rounds.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Aris lost to PAOK 1-3 on December 7, defeated Larissa 2-1 on November 29, and lost to AEK Athens 0-1 on November 23. Olympiakos, on the other hand, beat Kairat Almaty 1-0 (December 9), thrashed OFI 3-0 (December 6), and won against Panetolikos 1-0 (November 30). On average over the last five matches, Aris had 43.6% possession, committed 13 fouls, was caught offside 1.6 times, and received 1.8 yellow cards per game. Olympiakos had 57% possession, 11.6 fouls, 2 offsides, and 0.6 yellow cards. In their last head-to-head on November 1, Olympiakos won 2-1 against Aris.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five matches, Aris had an average total of 2.2 goals, while Olympiakos had 3. Aris scored an average of 0.8 and conceded 1.4, whereas Olympiakos was more prolific, scoring 2.2 and conceding only 0.8. Both teams had 3 out of 5 games with over 2.5 total goals, indicating a tendency for high-scoring matches. By halves, Aris had only 1 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals in the first half, and 2 out of 5 in the second half. Olympiakos had 2 out of 5 in both halves. Aris most frequently scored between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%), while Olympiakos scored most often in two periods: 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Aris conceded most often in the 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (33% each), whereas half of Olympiakos's conceded goals came between the 16th and 30th minutes. Given Olympiakos's high scoring and Aris's less reliable defense, betting on over 2.5 total goals seems justified.

Corner Bets

Over the last five matches, Aris averaged 4.2 corners, while Olympiakos averaged 6.6. For over 9.5 corners, Aris had 3 out of 5, and Olympiakos had 1 out of 5. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the combined average (10.8) is 10.5, with both outcomes available: over 10.5 corners at 3.50, under 10.5 at 1.22. Olympiakos is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.26. Considering Olympiakos's activity in delivering corners and Aris's decent average, it is reasonable to expect the match to exceed 9-10 corners. Additionally, consider the option for Olympiakos's individual total corners over 5.5, given their average of 6.6 per game.