Prediction for match Arka Gdynia — Lech Poznan, 09.11.2025

Match Analysis: Arka Gdynia vs Lech Poznań

On November 9th, an Ekstraklasa match will take place between Arka Gdynia and Lech Poznań. The odds for the main outcome are as follows: Arka Gdynia's victory is priced at 4.20, a draw at 3.70, and Lech Poznań's win at 1.83. In terms of probabilities: Lech Poznań has a 51.81% chance of winning, a draw is at 25.62%, and Arka Gdynia has a 22.57% chance of success. Lech Poznań appears to be the favorite based on odds and probabilities, setting the expectations for this encounter. Other outcomes in the line have higher odds and lower probability according to the assessments.

Team Results and Statistics

Arka Gdynia, in their last five matches, averages 45.2% possession, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 13.8 fouls, and records 1.4 offsides. Lech Poznań's stats are: 54.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 2.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Arka Gdynia played as follows: 02.11.2025 Górnik Zabrze - Arka Gdynia 5-1, 25.10.2025 Arka Gdynia - Piast Gliwice 2-1, 18.10.2025 Jagiellonia - Arka Gdynia 4-0. Lech Poznań's last three matches were: 06.11.2025 Rayo Vallecano - Lech Poznań 3-2, 02.11.2025 Lech Poznań - Motor Lublin 2-2, 26.10.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lech Poznań 0-0. In their head-to-head meeting on 07.12.2023, Arka Gdynia and Lech Poznań played 0-1, with the total under 2.5.

Goal Statistics

Arka Gdynia has consistently seen over 2.5 goals in their last five matches - 5 out of 5 over. Lech Poznań has seen this total surpassed 4 times out of 5. In the first halves, both teams have 2 out of 5 for over 1.5, and in the second halves - 3 out of 5 for over 1.5. Average goals: Arka Gdynia 4 per game, Lech Poznań 3.2. Arka Gdynia scores mainly in the 0-15 minute interval (33%), while Lech Poznań is most prolific towards the end, 76-90 minutes (44%). Arka Gdynia concedes most often in three intervals: 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90, each at 33%. Lech Poznań concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (43%). Both teams play high-scoring games, as confirmed by their average goals and frequency of surpassing the total. A bet on over 2.5 goals seems logical here, considering both teams and their current performance.

Corner Totals Analysis

Arka Gdynia averages 3.4 corners per 5 matches, while Lech Poznań averages 6.4. For over 9.5 corners: Arka has 2 out of 5 over, Lech Poznań 4 out of 5 over. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.67, under 9.5 - 2.10; over 10 - 1.92, under 10 - 1.88. In corner outcomes, Lech Poznań is the favorite with odds of 1.67. Based on statistics, Lech Poznań consistently delivers many corners and frequently surpasses high totals, so a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified for this match.