Prediction for match Arka Gdynia — Motor Lublin, 06.12.2025

Match Analysis: Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin

In the Ekstraklasa on December 6, 2025, Arka Gdynia will face Motor Lublin. According to the 1X2 odds, Motor Lublin is the favorite with odds of 2.42, while Arka Gdynia is offered at 2.86, and a draw is priced at 3.22. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Arka Gdynia - 32.57%, draw - 28.93%, Motor Lublin - 38.50%. This suggests that Motor Lublin is slightly favored by the bookmakers, but there isn't a significant gap between the teams. Both sides have nearly equal chances of winning, with a draw being the third most likely outcome.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Arka Gdynia averaged 42.8% possession, received 2.6 yellow cards, committed 15.6 fouls, and were caught offside 1.8 times. Motor Lublin maintained 48.6% possession, received 1.2 yellow cards per game, committed 13 fouls, and were caught offside 2.6 times. In their last three games, Arka Gdynia lost to Rakow 1-4 (30.11), lost to Nieciecza 0-2 (21.11), and defeated Lech Poznan 3-1 (09.11). During the same period, Motor Lublin drew with Legia Warsaw 1-1 (01.12), beat Cracovia 2-1 (22.11), and drew with Wisla Plock 1-1 (08.11). In their head-to-head on September 25, Arka Gdynia won against Motor Lublin 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Arka Gdynia averaged a total of 4 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2.6 per game. Motor Lublin averaged a total of 2.8 goals, scoring 1.8 and conceding 1. Over the five-game span, Arka Gdynia's matches went over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, while Motor Lublin's did in 3 out of 5. By halves, Arka Gdynia had over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and three times in the second, while Motor Lublin had over 1.5 goals three times in the first half and twice in the second. Arka Gdynia most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (43%), and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%). Motor Lublin distributes their goals evenly between 0-60 minutes (22% in each interval), and most often concedes between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). This data suggests a high likelihood of a high-scoring match, especially considering both teams' regularity in exceeding 2.5 goals and their average goal metrics. A bet on over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.00 seems the most logical choice.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Arka Gdynia averaged 2.8 corners over their last five matches, while Motor Lublin averaged 4.8. In their five-game series, Arka Gdynia had over 9.5 corners twice, and Motor Lublin once. The total closest to the combined average (7.6) is 7.5. The odds for over 7.5 corners are 1.20, and for under 7.5 are 3.68. In terms of corner outcomes, Motor Lublin is the favorite with odds of 1.76. Overall, both teams do not frequently reach high corner totals, so a moderate total bet seems justified. Arka Gdynia takes few corners, while Motor Lublin improves in this component, which may affect the distribution of corners in the match.