Prediction for match Arouca — Sporting CP, 24.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages

In the Primeira Liga on January 24, Arouca will face Sporting CP. Bookmakers assess Sporting CP's chances of winning at odds of 1.26, a draw at 7.21, and an Arouca victory at 9.85. The probabilities for the 1X2 outcomes are distributed as follows: Arouca - 9.82%, draw - 13.42%, Sporting CP - 76.77%. This setup reflects Sporting CP's significant superiority across all key parameters, which is also confirmed by the statistics of recent meetings between these teams. Additionally, the line on totals and individual performances is worth attention, considering the attacking potential of the visitors.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Arouca has an average possession of 59.4%, receives 3 yellow cards, commits 12.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Sporting CP's averages are: possession 53.2%, 2.4 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per match. Arouca's last three matches: 17.01.2026 - ABC - Arouca - 0-1, 03.01.2026 - Tondela - Arouca - 3-1, 28.12.2025 - Arouca - Gil Vicente - 2-2. Sporting CP played as follows: 20.01.2026 - Sporting CP - PSG - 2-1, 16.01.2026 - Sporting CP - Casa Pia - 3-0, 02.01.2026 - Gil Vicente - Sporting CP - 1-1. In their head-to-head on 17.08.2025, Sporting CP crushed Arouca 6-0.

Number of Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Arouca's average total goals is 2, while Sporting CP's is 3.4, indicating the visitors' high scoring potential. Arouca scores 1 and concedes 1 goal per game, while Sporting CP scores 2.8 and concedes just 0.6. For over 2.5 goals: Arouca had 2 out of 5 matches, Sporting CP had 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice for both teams, while in the second half, Arouca had no overs, and Sporting CP had 3 out of 5. In terms of scoring intervals, Arouca most frequently scored in the first 15 minutes (50%), while Sporting CP scored in the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 minute intervals (27% each). Both teams are most vulnerable to conceding in the 31-45 minute segment (50%). Given Sporting CP's high scoring average and frequent over 2.5 goals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.47 seems logical. However, with odds below 1.50, the optimal prediction becomes Sporting CP's individual total over 2 goals at 1.55, supported by their consistent attack and frequent large victories.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Arouca's average over 5 matches is 5.6, and Sporting CP's is 5.2. The over 9.5 corners occurred 3 times out of 5 for both teams. The total closest to the sum of average values (10.8) is the line at 10.5: over 10.5 corners - 2.31, under 10.5 - 1.50. Sporting CP is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.14. Considering the average values and frequency of over 9.5, a bet on over 10.5 corners looks justified for risk-oriented players, while a more cautious option is under 10.5 at 1.50.