Prediction for match Roma — Milan, 25.01.2026

Match Analysis: Roma vs Milan

In Serie A on January 25, Roma will face Milan. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Roma to win is priced at 2.82, a draw at 3.02, and Milan's victory at 3.03. In terms of probabilities: Roma - 34.91%, draw - 32.60%, Milan - 32.49%. The balance of power is quite close, but Roma has a slight edge. Among additional markets, the over 2.25 goals is notable at 1.90, as well as both teams to score: yes - 1.83, no - 1.89. For individual team totals: Roma over 1 goal is 1.71, Milan over 1 goal is 1.78. The double chance X2 is offered at 1.49, reflecting the close form and statistics of the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Roma has an average possession of 57.4%, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 13.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. During the same period, Milan shows 52.8% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 9.8 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last three matches, Roma defeated Stuttgart 2-0, beat Torino 2-0, and lost to Torino 2-3. Milan won against Lecce 1-0, defeated Como 3-1, and drew with Fiorentina 1-1. The last head-to-head meeting was on November 2, 2025, where Milan edged Roma 1-0.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Roma vs Milan Match

In the last five encounters, both teams have tended towards low-scoring games: Roma and Milan each had only one match over 2.5 goals, with four matches going under. Neither team has a strong over-profile for over 2.25 goals - Roma averages 2.6 goals over 5 games, Milan 2. Roma scores an average of 2 goals per match, Milan 1.4, and both concede 0.6. In terms of halves, Roma had over 1.5 goals twice in the second half, Milan three times. In the first half, Roma had no matches over 1.5 goals, Milan had just one. Roma scores most frequently between 76-90 minutes (67%), while Milan scores in the same interval 50% of the time. For conceded goals, Roma's most frequent interval is 61-75 (29%), Milan's is 76-90 (43%). Given the low scoring in recent matches and the balance between attack and defense, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.74 seems logical. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.83, but neither team is prone to regular goal exchanges.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

There's a noticeable difference in corners: Roma averages 2.8 per game, Milan 7.6. In the last five matches, Roma had no games over 9.5 corners, while Milan exceeded 9.5 in all five. The total over 9.5 corners is at 2.10, under 9.5 at 1.65. Roma's win on corners is priced at 1.75. Based on average statistics, considering over 9.5 corners is logical, given Milan's high activity in this area. Also noteworthy is that Milan's individual corner total is consistently higher than Roma's, as confirmed by frequency.