Prediction for match Asteras — Olympiakos

Odds and Probability Percentages

In the Greek Super League on February 4, 2026, Asteras will face Olympiakos. Olympiakos is the clear favorite with odds of 1.33 for their victory, reflecting a 70.42% chance of success. A draw is priced at 4.70 (19.93%), while a win for Asteras is at 9.70 (9.66%). This disparity highlights the difference in class and current form of the teams, as confirmed by recent match statistics. Olympiakos consistently collects points, whereas Asteras is facing significant challenges, which is reflected in the bookmakers' odds.

Team Results and Statistics

In a five-match series, Asteras averages 49.4% possession, 3 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 1.4 offsides per game. Olympiakos shows 46.8% possession, 2.2 yellows, 13.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Asteras lost to Levadiakos 1-3 (02/01/2026), fell to AEK Athens 0-1 (01/24/2026), and was defeated by OFI 0-4 (01/11/2026). Olympiakos drew with AEK Athens 1-1 (02/01/2026), beat Ajax 2-1 (01/28/2026), and defeated Volos 1-0 (01/24/2026). In their head-to-head on September 24, 2025, Olympiakos defeated Asteras 2-1. These figures underscore the difference in current form: Olympiakos regularly achieves positive results, while Asteras struggles both defensively and offensively.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Asteras has an average total of exactly 2 goals, scoring only 0.2 and conceding 1.8 per game. Olympiakos also averages a total of 2, scoring 1.6 and conceding just 0.4. For over 2.5 goals, Asteras has 2 out of 5, while Olympiakos has only 1 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred once for both teams, and in the second half, twice out of 5. Regarding goal intervals: Asteras most frequently scores between the 61st and 75th minutes (43%) and concedes evenly in the 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 intervals (33% each). Olympiakos distributes its goals evenly across all intervals, with 20% in each of the five segments, while conceding most often in the 46-60 and 76-90 intervals (40% each). Given Asteras's low scoring rate and Olympiakos's solid defense, it makes sense to consider a bet on both teams not to score. The odds for BTTS: No are 1.52, reflecting the trend of recent games and the difference in attacking potential between the opponents.

Corner Totals Analysis

For average corners over 5 matches: Asteras has 6.6, Olympiakos 5. For over 9.5 corners, Asteras has 3 out of 5, Olympiakos 2 out of 5. Considering a corner total of 11.5 (close to the average sum of 11.6), such a line isn't available in odds, but the frequency shows both teams are capable of earning a decent number of corners. In this match, it is logical to expect at least 10-11 corners, given Olympiakos's attacking style and Asteras's frequent attempts to catch up during the match. It is also worth noting that Asteras consistently delivers more than 6 corners per match, which might be of interest for individual corner total bets.