Prediction for match Aston Villa — Arsenal, 06.12.2025

Odds and Outcome Probability Percentages

In the Premier League on December 6, 2025, Aston Villa will face Arsenal. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Arsenal to win is priced at 1.95, a draw at 3.64, and Aston Villa to win at 4.40. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Arsenal 50.53%, draw 27.07%, Aston Villa 22.40%. These figures position Arsenal as the favorite, which is also supported by the current form of the teams in recent matches. Other betting options include over 2.5 goals at 2.12, and both teams to score at 1.86.

Recent Matches Performance

In their last five matches, Aston Villa has an average possession of 52.4%, receives 1.2 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per game. Arsenal, over the same period, shows 57.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last three matches, Aston Villa defeated Brighton 4-3 (03.12.2025), Wolverhampton 1-0 (30.11.2025), and Young Boys 2-1 (27.11.2025). Arsenal's recent matches include a 2-0 win over Brentford (03.12.2025), a 1-1 draw with Chelsea (30.11.2025), and a 3-1 victory against Bayern Munich (26.11.2025). In their head-to-head on January 18, 2025, Arsenal and Aston Villa ended in a 2-2 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Aston Villa has gone over 2.5 goals four times, while Arsenal has done so three times. The average number of goals scored and conceded by Aston Villa is 3.6 per game, and for Arsenal, it's 3.4. In terms of goals scored, Aston Villa averages 2.6, Arsenal 2.4, and both teams concede 1 goal per match. In the first half, Aston Villa has gone over 1.5 goals three times, Arsenal twice. In the second half, Aston Villa has gone over 1.5 goals three times, Arsenal four times. The most frequent goal intervals for Aston Villa are the 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (27% each), while for Arsenal, it's the 76-90 minute (33%). In terms of goals conceded, Aston Villa distributes them evenly across the 31-45, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 intervals (25% each), while Arsenal most often concedes between the 46-60 minutes (60%). Given the high scoring nature of both teams, frequent over 2.5 goals, and active finishes, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 2.12 seems logical.

Betting on Corners

In their last five matches, Aston Villa averages 5.8 corners, Arsenal 3.8. The frequency of going over 9.5 corners for Aston Villa happened 3 times out of 5, for Arsenal 1 time out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (9.6) is 9.5: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.85, under 9.5 is also at 1.85. Arsenal is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.61. Given these stats, considering a bet on over 9.5 corners makes sense, considering Aston Villa's consistent corner delivery and the overall pace of matches for both teams.