Prediction for match Aston Villa — Maccabi Tel Aviv

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the UEFA Europa League on November 6, Aston Villa will face Maccabi Tel Aviv. According to the match odds, an Aston Villa win is priced at 1.22, a draw at 6.50, and a Maccabi Tel Aviv victory at 9.50. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Aston Villa 75.98%, draw 14.26%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 9.76%. This indicates that the English team is the clear favorite, but unexpected results are always possible in European competitions. The odds for Under 2.5 Total Goals are 2.50, making this a viable main prediction.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Aston Villa has maintained an average possession of 53%, received 1.4 yellow cards, committed 7.2 fouls, and been caught offside 1.2 times per game. Maccabi Tel Aviv averages 53.8% possession, 1.6 bookings, 14.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Aston Villa's last three results were: November 1 - Liverpool 2-0 Aston Villa, October 26 - Aston Villa 1-0 Manchester City, October 23 - Go Ahead Eagles 2-1 Aston Villa. Maccabi Tel Aviv's results in the same period: October 27 - Maccabi Tel Aviv 3-1 Ironi Kiryat Shmona, October 23 - Maccabi Tel Aviv 0-3 Midtjylland, October 5 - Maccabi Tel Aviv 1-1 Maccabi Haifa. There have been no recent meetings between these teams.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have seen Over 2.5 Total Goals three times and Under twice. In first halves, both teams have gone Over 1.5 Goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while in second halves: Aston Villa has 2 out of 5, and Maccabi Tel Aviv has 3 out of 5 over 1.5. Average goals per match: Aston Villa 2.4, Maccabi Tel Aviv 2.6. Aston Villa scores most frequently between the 16th-30th, 31st-45th, and 61st-75th minutes (25% each), while Maccabi Tel Aviv scores most often in the 46th-60th minute (40%). Aston Villa concedes most in the final stages (76th-90th, 60%), while Maccabi Tel Aviv's concessions are more evenly distributed - 25% from the 16th to 90th minute. The dynamics of totals and interval data suggest a potentially restrained game, despite the attacking potential of both teams. Therefore, a bet on Under 2.5 Total Goals seems justified, especially given the odds of 2.50.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Aston Villa averages 6.2 corners per game, while Maccabi Tel Aviv averages 5.8. In their last five games, Aston Villa has gone Over 9.5 corners four times, while Maccabi Tel Aviv has done so twice. The corners market offers the following: Over 9.5 corners at 1.83, Under 9.5 corners also at 1.83. Aston Villa is favored to win the corner count at odds of 1.18. The overall corner dynamics are fairly neutral, but with a slight lean towards Over 9.5 due to Aston Villa's activity.