Prediction for match Aston Villa — Sunderland

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the English Premier League on 19.04.2026, Aston Villa will face Sunderland. The odds for the main outcomes are distributed as follows: Aston Villa to win is at 1.72, a draw is priced at 3.94, and Sunderland's victory is offered at 5.58. The probabilities for 1X2 in percentages are: Aston Villa - 57.31%, draw - 25.02%, Sunderland - 17.67%. Aston Villa is the clear favorite according to both the odds and probabilities, which is also reflected in the recent statistics of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

Aston Villa's averages over their last five matches: 51.6% possession, 0.8 yellow cards, 9.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Sunderland, in the same period, averages 48% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 13.8 fouls, and 2 offsides. In their last three matches, Aston Villa played as follows: 16.04.2026 - Aston Villa vs Bologna 4-0, 12.04.2026 - Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa 1-1, 09.04.2026 - Bologna vs Aston Villa 1-3. Sunderland's last three encounters: 12.04.2026 - Sunderland vs Tottenham 1-0, 22.03.2026 - Newcastle vs Sunderland 1-2, 14.03.2026 - Sunderland vs Brighton 0-1. In their head-to-head on 21.09.2025, Sunderland and Aston Villa drew 1-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Aston Villa's last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred twice, while under 2.5 goals occurred three times. For Sunderland, the total over 2.5 goals occurred once, while under 2.5 goals occurred four times. Aston Villa's average goals scored in the last five games is 2.4, with 0.4 conceded, and a total match goal average of 2.8. Sunderland's averages are: 0.8 goals scored, 0.6 conceded, with a total match goal average of 1.4. In the first half, Aston Villa had over 1.5 total goals twice, while Sunderland had none. In the second half, Aston Villa had over 1.5 total goals twice, Sunderland once. For goal intervals: Aston Villa most frequently scores between the 16-30 and 76-90 minutes (27% each), while Sunderland scores most often in three intervals: 0-15, 16-30, and 61-75 minutes (33% each). For goals conceded: Aston Villa spreads their conceded goals across four intervals (25% each), while Sunderland most frequently concedes between the 46-60 minutes (50%). Based on this data, and considering Sunderland's low scoring and Aston Villa's strong defense, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.96 seems logical for this match.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Aston Villa averages 4.2 corners per game, Sunderland 5. In the last five matches, Aston Villa's total corners over 9.5 occurred three times, Sunderland's four times. When considering total corners, the line closest to the average sum of corners is 9.5. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.72, and for under 9.5 corners, 2.01. Aston Villa is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.40. This match could see plenty of corner activity, especially given both teams' recent performances. It's also worth noting that Sunderland often earns more corners, while Aston Villa consistently maintains over 4 corners per game.