Prediction for match Manchester City — Arsenal

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The match between Manchester City and Arsenal will take place on 19.04.2026 as part of the Premier League. According to the 1X2 odds, Manchester City is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.90, a draw at 3.78, and an Arsenal win at 4.46. The probabilities for the outcomes are distributed as follows: Manchester City - 51.85%, draw - 26.06%, Arsenal - 22.09%. Besides the main outcome, there are options for total goals, both teams to score, and individual totals. Double chance and half-time totals are also available for analysis.

Teams' Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Manchester City has averaged 60.6% possession, received 1.2 yellow cards, committed 8.8 fouls, and been caught offside 1.2 times per game. Arsenal, in the same period, maintained 52.6% possession, received 1 warning, committed 10.2 fouls, and was caught offside once per match. In their last three encounters, Manchester City played as follows: 12.04.2026 Chelsea - Manchester City 0-3, 04.04.2026 Manchester City - Liverpool 4-0, 22.03.2026 Arsenal - Manchester City 0-2. Arsenal's last three matches: 15.04.2026 Arsenal - Sporting Lisbon 0-0, 11.04.2026 Arsenal - Bournemouth 1-2, 07.04.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Arsenal 0-1. The last head-to-head meeting was on 22.03.2026: Arsenal - Manchester City 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Manchester City has an average total of 2.8 goals, scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.6 per game. Arsenal, in the same period, shows an average of 1.8 goals, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2. Regarding over 2.5 goals, Manchester City had 3 out of 5 games over, Arsenal had 2 out of 5. For over 1.5 goals in the first half, Manchester City had 3 out of 5 games, Arsenal only 1 out of 5. In the second half, Manchester City also has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, Arsenal - 2 out of 5. Manchester City most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minute (67%), and concedes between the 46th and 60th and the 61st and 75th minutes (33% each). Arsenal also scores most often between the 31st and 45th minute (67%) and concedes between the 61st and 75th minute (50%). Considering Arsenal's low scoring rate (0.6 goals per match) and Manchester City's strong defense (0.6 conceded), a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.91 seems justified.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Manchester City averages 8.6 corners per game, Arsenal - 6.8. In the last 5 matches, both teams had over 9.5 corners in 3 out of 5 games. Among the available corner totals, the closest to the average sum (15.4) is the total of 10.5: over 10.5 is priced at 2.11, under 10.5 at 1.65. The corner outcome market also has Manchester City as the favorite with odds of 1.60. An active game on the flanks and a large number of corner kicks are expected, as confirmed by the recent statistics of both teams.