Prediction for match Atalanta — Cagliari, 13.12.2025

Odds and Probability of Match Outcomes

In Serie A on December 13, Atalanta will face Cagliari. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Atalanta's victory is priced at 1.38, a draw at 5.32, and Cagliari's win at 9.60. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Atalanta has a 71.27% chance, a draw is at 18.49%, and Cagliari's chance of winning is 10.24%. The most likely outcome is considered to be an Atalanta victory, as confirmed by both the odds and the probability distribution.

Team Results and Statistics

Atalanta, over the last five matches, has an average possession of 56.2%, receives 0.4 yellow cards, commits 9.8 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times per match. Cagliari, over the same period, has 40.6% possession, receives 2.8 yellow cards, commits 16.8 fouls, and is offside 1.4 times. In their last three matches, Atalanta defeated Chelsea 2-1 (09.12.2025), lost to Verona 1-3 (06.12.2025), and thrashed Genoa 4-0 (03.12.2025). Cagliari, in their last three games, beat Roma 1-0 (07.12.2025), played a high-scoring match with Napoli 9-10 (03.12.2025), and lost to Juventus 1-2 (29.11.2025). Their last head-to-head on February 15, 2025, ended 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Atalanta has an average total of 3.2 goals per game, scoring 2.4 and conceding 0.8. Cagliari averages 2.4 goals per match, scoring 1.2 and conceding the same. Atalanta has seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches, while Cagliari has seen over 2.5 in 2 out of 5. In terms of halves, Atalanta had only 1 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half but 4 out of 5 in the second half. For Cagliari, 2 out of 5 first halves had over 1.5 goals, but only 1 out of 5 second halves did. Atalanta most frequently scores between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (27% each), while Cagliari scores most between the 31st-45th minutes (43%). Atalanta concedes most in the 61st-75th minutes (40%), and Cagliari between the 16th-30th minutes (40%). The statistics support a bet on over 2.5 goals, considering Atalanta's high scoring profile and decent recent form. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.78.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Atalanta averages 5 corners per game, while Cagliari averages 3.8. In their last 5 matches, Atalanta had 3 out of 5 games with over 9.5 total corners, while Cagliari had only 1 out of 5. The line closest to their average total (8.8) is 8.5: odds for over 8.5 corners are 1.52, while under 8.5 is 2.30. Atalanta is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.16. Both teams do not show extremely high corner activity, but a bet on over 8.5 corners seems reasonable given the average.